Stockchase Opinions

Derek Warren Melcor REIT MR.UN-T DON'T BUY Apr 29, 2014

You want to make sure there is good transparency into their deals.

$10.640

Stock price when the opinion was issued

REAL ESTATE
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HOLD

Likes the company but not crazy about the REITs and their external management structure. Thought the fees were a little bit heavy so he did not participate in the IPO. Good safe company to be in but not his preferred pick.

COMMENT

This tends to be more of a Western Canadian focused REIT. They have good assets, but the challenge here is that it is going to be more growth by acquisition oriented. Dividend is reasonable in the valuation is reasonable, but he sees better risk/reward in other REITs.

COMMENT

This has a stigma of being related to the Edmonton market. A blue-collar town with a lot of offices being built, so there is going to be downward pressure on rents going forward. This really comes down to making a call on oil.

COMMENT

The main market here is Edmonton, so you have to have a view on Edmonton. Being an oil related economy, there is some pressure right now. If you view this as an opportunity to take advantage of this weakness, this would be the name for you. He sees a lot of office building going on right now in the Edmonton market, and thinks it is too much for a market with that kind of growth rate. Dividend yield of 8%.

COMMENT

The advantage is that they really know the Edmonton market better than anybody else. If you want to play Edmonton, this is the way to do it. He is quite afraid of Edmonton, even though they have been able to lease up quite well. A lot of the space still hasn’t been constructed, but is nearing completion. Dividend yield of 8.3%.

DON'T BUY
Dividend safe? They did a convertible debenture that he participated in. This is an Edmonton based land bank company. A longer term play. What tends to happen is goes quietly along for a while then they sell off an asset, which causes a spike up. It does not have a large enough dividend to hold investors in long enough. That is why he bought the debenture instead.
DON'T BUY
Concentrated in Alberta. His reservation is that most assets are in retail and office, with only 5-6% industrial warehouse. These are two very tough sectors. Will take a long time to recover. Discount to NAV, but not many catalysts to close the gap. Instead, look at the apartment sector.