
TSE:MKP
(A SHORT) Primarily subprime mortgage lender almost solely focused on single-family housing. Looking at the housing market data starting with Vancouver and the Toronto condo market, which is now spreading into single-family market elsewhere, you are seeing sales down and listings up. Looks like Phoenix and Florida circa 2006 to him. You are going to start to see inventory build dramatically over the next 6 months and then you start to see prices really fall. Thinks there is 20%-30% downside.
Loan to values are quite conservative because of Canadian laws. There is headline risk. Stick with it but don't add to it. Prefers HCG-T