Stock price when the opinion was issued
Debt to cash flow is around 6X, which is high. Cut the dividend to zero, which led to a freefall in the stock. If you were an uber bull on oil, this is the type of name that could go up several fold. Personally it is not his strategy because he thinks he can make 50% or more buying more established names. Higher risk than what he would be comfortable with. In his estimation, they are unable to grow oil at anything remotely close to today’s oil prices. High debt, declining production, declining product pricing which is a tricky situation to be in.
Is one of the most troubled companies in the business right now. It makes sense to upgrade the company right now. The company had an takeover rumour, which doesn't make sense because the stock is going lower. This indicates that the public doesn't believe in the rumour. Doesn't recommend buying based on the rumour.
They were caught offside with debt levels at 5 times debt to cash flow. The dividend is cut to zero. Debt and production growth are still concerns. They are challenged, as are most companies. Oil needs to get to $70 (local price) in order for them to growth production and resume the dividend. He believes they will sell assets to reduce debt. It’s not a terminal situation, but he does not buy companies with stressed balance sheets.