Opinions
Bill Baruch, Founder, Blue Line Capital
Cheniere Energy Inc
LNG-A
PARTIAL SELL
Feb 16, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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We reiterate this builder and operator of liquified natural gas facilities as a TOP PICK. We like that cash reserves continue to grow, while debt is reduced and shares bought back. It trades at 18x earnings. With low domestic natural gas prices in the US, this will make for good demand to export in the near term. We continue to recommend a stop at $140, looking to achieve $201 -- upside potential of 25%. Yield
(Analysts’ price target is $200.89)We again reiterate LNG as a TOP PICK. Cash reserves are growing, which is allowing the company to allocate another $4 billion towards capital expansions while receiving investment-grade credit status. Its Corpus Christi Stage 3 project will see first LNG later this year. It trades at 18x earnings and supports a robust 78% ROE. We suggest trailing up the stop (from $140) to $153, looking to achieve $198 -- upside potential of 19%. Yield 1.0%
(Analysts’ price target is $98.69)Our PAST TOP PICK with LNG has triggered its stop at $215. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 33%, when combined with our previous guidance.
He trimmed his holding. They have a foothold in natural gas, the price of which has been falling. That price will reach a capitulation before bottoming. That's why he doesn't want a large holding, in case the baby gets thrown out with the bathwater. Supply is well above the 5-year average in nat gas; overproduction. If future prices fall below $1 that will signal capitulation.