Michael SprungKingsway Financial ServicesKFS.TOBUYAug 14, 2008
Recently been buying more. Stock was oversold and is selling at half of BV. Historically have been this low in the past but moved up to be selling at 1.5X BV. US subsidiary Lincoln caused most of their grief and hopefully this is now over. Core underlying earnings of roughly $.40 a quarter but with write-downs this year will be flat. Expecting earnings to be well in excess of $1 maybe $1.50 next year and going forward.
The $4 level is significant. It'll be a fight to rise to $4. Yes, their insider buying is a good sign, but expect volatility here. To average in, look at the $2.63 level.
Turned a US company over to charity but regulators took them to court. Won but it is now being appealed. If they win it will be great for them. Has looked at this for a couple of years but hasn't liked what management was saying. New management is coming in. Could go bankrupt or become a 5-10 bagger.
Even in the best of ties it has had quite a few challenges. The risk reward is negative. Doesn’t see a positive catalyst and risk of stock going to zero or near zero.
Certain times in investing when you have no clue as to what is behind the veil. Wouldn't touch this one. Playing right into the hands of EGI Financial (EFH-T), which is a fantastic little insurance company that you could consider.
There's a lot of good things going on here however you don't want to make a big bet until you have seen a couple of confirming quarters. Buy a little position now and increase your holdings on good quarters.
Still going through a transition. The cut in dividends should allow them to pay down debt. Will still have write-offs going forward. Tremendous upside potential but he would rather see another quarter or two.
This is a company that has had difficulties in the past and has managed to recover. He is kicking the tires on them. This could be a 3-4 bagger. Would want to see some quarters before putting any money down on it. There were a lot of disgruntled shareholders at AGM.