Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Hormel Foods Corp
HRL-N
TOP PICK
Jun 08, 2016
This owns about 30 brands including Skippy peanut butter. They are getting into the healthier food. It came on his radar screen because of its really long ascent, a very low volatile name. It was up about 500% for about 10 years and the dividend rose 300%. Then it had a big pull back of about 25%. They reported and actually beat earnings 2 weeks ago. The street turned on them. Dividend yield of 1.68%.
It is a good and well managed company. It is a protein company and there are problems with protein pricing due to epidemics in livestock recently. He thinks it is 'too-hard-to-do'. It is too risky.
He ate Spam as a kid, a cheap meat. HRL has transformed from producing Spam to delivering packaged goods, so that has added value. Millennials are cooking less, so there's growing demand for ready-made meals. This means that HRL should do well.
It's always been a good company due to their ability to allocate capital appropriately. They were struggling before due to pork prices for SPAM. They're also in the spreads business like Skippy's. 5 year dividend growth is 16%. If they continue to keep margins up, it is a good company.
They report Thursday. He hopes they buck the trend of food stocks facing tough comparisons vs. a year ago. They recently bought Planter's Nuts, an under-managed food brand. He suspects this deal to have paid off already for them.
It reports Thursday. It's down big from its highs, even after managers have made terrific moves in its portfolio. Its Spam will always sell and always has.
Hormel reports Wednesday. They sell much more than spam, though Spam sells well in a recession. General Mills and Pepsi have shown strength, and maybe HRL will too.
Is up 13% for the past year. They make Spam, Planter's Peanuts and other packaged food, an industry that has held up better than the market. Hormel just released its quarter and it was mixed: 51 cents EPS vs. expected 50 cents, lower than expected sales which worries him, a weak 2023 forecast because of a volatile, high-cost environment.
This owns about 30 brands including Skippy peanut butter. They are getting into the healthier food. It came on his radar screen because of its really long ascent, a very low volatile name. It was up about 500% for about 10 years and the dividend rose 300%. Then it had a big pull back of about 25%. They reported and actually beat earnings 2 weeks ago. The street turned on them. Dividend yield of 1.68%.