Stock price when the opinion was issued
He sold it at $295 recently. Loves the company, but earnings revisions came down. He bought at $262. He may re-buy it if the price and valuation are right. FedEx is a dominant player and the management team proves they can execute. The founder family still owns a lot of shares, and such families don't make crazy decision to preserve their stake. Also, cost savings and a huge share buyback are plusses. Also, they have fewer unionized employees than UPS.
Last night, they reported a surprisingly good quarter, so shares jumped 2.3%. It has struggled since summer 2024 and especially during the tariff spring of 2025. Is still -17.6% this year and has been downgraded recently. Total revenue is +3% YOY, driven by core FedEx express business. Adjusted EPS easily beat and issued a positive full-year forecast. They raised revenue growth outlook. Cutbacks, like removing stations and pick-up times, (Network 2.0) is cutting costs without angering customers. Also, are making their European business more efficiency with more productivity. He sees more upside, though is a little cautious due to tariffs. FedEx has done very well navigating this tricky economy. Trades at under 13x PE, cheap. Pays a safe 2.5% dividend.
They're cutting costs, not growing the business organically. Last quarter was really bad, so all they've done today is recover that loss. Give the new CEO some time to straighten out the cost base and then we'll see if things pick up. The stock isn't cheap; shorts are discounting the market but that's where it should be for this cyclical stock.