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Equinox Gold
EQX-T
HOLD
Feb 27, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentEQX operates 8 producing gold mines in Brazil, Mexico, Canada and the USA and is enroute to producing 1 million ounces annually. The company expanded its holding in the Greenstone mine to hold 100% of the asset. It trades at 14x earnings and under book value. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $5.50, looking to achieve $10.00 -- upside potential over 35%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $10.19)Premium contentEQX is reiterated as a TOP PICK. Management updated estimates of its 100% owned Ontario holding, indicating a higher grade of gold yield than previously estimated. We like that quarterly cash reserves are growing, while debt is reduced. It trades at 10x earnings and under book value. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $5.50) to $6.00 at this time, looking to achieve $10.50 -- upside potential of 23%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $10.33)Recent projects that are not on time very disappointing (market turned out to be correct). Problems with operations elsewhere in the company also a concerned. Investors could see another equity issue - but isn't sure. Company has a lot of debt. Will continue to hold share - believes in management.
Premium contentPremium contentPremium contentThey've had mixed results in past years. They are, though, ramping up an Ontario project to fill capacity, as they pay down their heavy debt. At $2,800 gold and at full capacity, the company expects to pay down all debt in 3 years. Stick with it. It's expected for gold to keep rising, some saying $3,000.
EPS of $0.027 beat estimates of ($0.044) and revenues of $352.16M missed expectations of $361.39M.
The stock rose as better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA helped to lift the name and as its guidance for CAPEX was less than expected.
Management noted this was its strong quarter of production at the lowest costs for the year.
Significant progress was made at its mines and it is well-funded to complete construction at Greenstone for the first half of 2024.
The results largely looked strong, but the name has not held up as well as the underlying price of gold and the company's debt levels are quite high. We would consider it to be OK at current levels, although its high leverage does present some level of concern for us.
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