Stock price when the opinion was issued
This pick results from his looking at the application layer 12 months down the road. Model training algorithms are already being monetized in healthcare, education, and now sports/entertainment. Investor day last week saw a lot of AI tools. Yield is 0.5%.
12-month price target of $167.50. Buy 1/3 here around $141, $134, and $125.
Likes the portfolio, though a bit weak in mobile. Discretionary spend on some titles has been a bit lower. Over the long term, can grow 5-6%. 30% free cashflow margins, enough to buy back 5-6% of shares every year. In-game transactions are 99% gross margins. Yield is 0.6%.
(Analysts’ price target is $146.38)They have a lot of sports titles. They lost FIFA, but have their own soccer franchise, plus baseball and basketball. Sports are steady as opposed to companies depending on a few hit games. Ultimately, someone will buy them out, like Netflix or Amazon or Apple, who could pay twice the multiple.
The space is doing fantastically well. Great franchises, an absolute money machine. There's a rule to buy software companies when growth + margins = 40 or more. For EA, this number is 94. July 29 report beat on top and bottom and raised guidance.