Opinions
Kevin Simpson
CME Group Inc
CME-Q
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Nov 08, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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(A Top Pick Mar 30/22, Down 27%) 800-pound gorilla in the derivatives space. Bet heavily on crypto. In technology, he tries to buy the picks and shovels providers. So, companies that will do well agnostic of which technology ends up triumphing. CME may be down, but it's not going out of business.
One of the largest exchanges in the world. Good for long term investors as has steady income streams. Futures and derivatives products very profitable (exclusive ownership of futures). Growth in international market and data of users (electronic gold). High barrier to entry also makes for a good business.
He chose to own this instead of owning gold, silver, or other commodities. You get double the return, with 1/3 the risk. Gets paid on both sides of deals. Capex is very low, so they pay a special dividend at the end of the year on top of their growing dividend.
Not just commodities. Also interest rates, currencies, and anything that can be traded. After January 20, volatility in the market is expected, which means more buying and selling of options and futures. Yield is 2%.
(Analysts’ price target is $245.42)
CME Group is committed to delivering new ways to manage risk and improve efficiency. Whether that means developing product solutions to empower trading strategies, expanding access to unique data insights, seamlessly connecting siloed liquidity pools, or introducing more ways to optimize the time and capital required for world-class risk management, new opportunities are always awaiting you. Social media mentions are up 1400% in the past 24h.
He bought more when shares plunged after the vote. Market trading volume is up 18% YOY. Also, this is a dividend play and they buyback shares. The past 3 Decembers, they announced a special divided, which he thinks could be $6 this year.