Stockchase Opinions

Keith Richards iShares Japan C$ Hedge ETF CJP-T PAST TOP PICK Nov 14, 2016

(Top Pick Oct 5/16, Up 5.87%) The trade is not over yet. It is still positive from a technical perspective. He likes the Japanese market in general. As long as the Yen stays weak he will stay there.

$13.000

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WEAK BUY

There is $13 support from 2013. It could be okay, but you have to keep an eye on it. The Yen is hedged.

HOLD

Has just started buying Japan because of the strength in the yen, and thinks the next side of this is Japan weakening in the yen, in which stocks will outperform.

DON'T BUY

Japan has gone through 25 years that has been lost. They literally lost a quarter century. The Nikkei hit its peak at the end of 1989. Given how their society is aging, and that they can’t do any more in terms of urbanotics(?) and stimulus, we are at the point where you just have to tough it out. He is opposed to anything doing with Japan.

RISKY

It would be his favourite Japan ETF because as it is hedged, but he would not buy Japan right now. The currency is all over the place. He is not keen on Japan’s prospects. He prefers the US.

TOP PICK

It is currency hedged. The downtrend looks to be ending. It has higher highs and higher lows in the breakout. It looks very technically attractive.

BUY

Japan is very interesting to him right now. People don’t understand what is going on in corporate Japan. After decades, Japanese companies are very adaptable. More of their production occurs in countries they sell in. 60% of Japanese corporations’ production occurs off shore. This time he thinks the macro dynamics line up for Japanese investment. EWJ-N is another way to play Japan and it is good as well.

COMMENT

There is a little problem with this fund. It was ex-Claymore, and a number of the Claymore ETF’s that where acquired by iShares, have been delisted by TSX and are now on the NLB Exchange. What that is going to do for liquidity, he is not sure. He has no problem in investing in Japan.

COMMENT

The only problem with this is that it is no longer trading on the TSX, it was delisted. It is now trading on Equifast Neal (?). He would probably be more inclined to go with the iShares Japan (EWJ-N).

COMMENT
CJP has been around for a long time to get exposure to Japan. There are also a bunch you can play in US dollars, but this one is hedged to CAD.