Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Bunge Ltd. BG-N PAST TOP PICK Nov 17, 2020

(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 33.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK BG has achieved its objective of $61, so we are being disciplined and recommending to cover 50% of the position. We would also recommend trailing the stop up to $53 -- currently at $51.
$59.360

Stock price when the opinion was issued

agriculture
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 74.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are recommending trailing up the stop to $72.50. This would all but guarantee a minimum investment return of 45%, including the previous recommendation to cover 50%.
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 93.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with BG continues to make good progress. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $72.50) to $82.00. If triggered, this would all but guarantee a minimum investment return of 56%, when considering the previous recommendation to cover half of the holding.
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 78.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with BG has triggered its stop at $82. We recommend covering the balance of the holdings at this time. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50%, this secures a total investment return of 56%
BUY
Is hitting new highs today after huge run in the last 12 months. The agriculture trade has strong momentum that will go parabolic. Corn and wheat from Ukraine are down substantially while weather is challenging plantings in the U.S. He bought this today, even at these highs. He doesn't see resolution in the supply side. Any correction is a buying opportunity. You must be in agriculture which is not expensive in terms of valuation.
BUY
Agriculture is an amazing place to be now. Resilient. BG is a small cap. They're delivering over 80 storage facilities, specialized oils and grains-- things that people must have in this cycle.
BUY

They reported a mixed quarter and was downgraded, and yet shares went up. He expects it to extend far past $100.

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

This Missouri based ag company has entered into a merger that will expand its global footprint.  Recently reported earnings were up 25% on the year.  We like that cash reserves are growing, while the company aggressively retires debt.  It trades at 9x earnings and 1.6x book, while supporting a 19% ROE.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $95, looking to achieve $136 -- upside potential of 19%.  Yield 2.2%  

(Analysts’ price target is $136.45)
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

With recently reported sales beating analyst estimates, we reiterate BG as a TOP PICK.  Tightening margins did shave something of the top end earnings for this international agribusiness company, but we liked that cash reserves continue to grow, while debt is aggressively retired and shares bought back.  It trades at 9x earnings, 1.5x book and supports a 20% ROE.  The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 20% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $95, looking to achieve $134 -- upside potential of 26%.  Yield 2.4%

(Analysts’ price target is $134.67)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 16/23, Down 10.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BG has triggered its stop at $95.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with the previous buy recommendation, this will result in a net investment loss of 13%.

DON'T BUY

The whole agricultural sector has become a battleground. Wait for BG to bottom before making any move.