Stockchase Opinions

Lorne Steinberg Apple Inc AAPL-Q WATCH Apr 07, 2025

With the drop in the stock price, he's finally looking at it. One issue is China's reaction to the US tariffs; is it going to put pressure on government employees to not buy iPhones? Consumer sentiment is just temporary.

$181.550

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TRADE

They generate $110 billion in free cash from services to buy back shares. Eventually they will get AI right. He trades this like crazy. Very positive.

PARTIAL SELL
Partially sell a 70% gain, making up 30% of a RRIF?

30% is too high, even the greatest stock of all time. Don't sell all of it, but gradually sell it down to 5% weight.

BUY

They will spend over $500 billion in the US in the next 4 years to manufacture in the US. Have faith in CEO Tim Cook, given his track record.

BUY
Which Mag 7's will weather current market adversity?

The ones that are nice to King Trump. He'd hope that TSLA and AAPL would escape additional tariffs on China. 

Except for TSLA, the other Mag 6 have come down to very reasonable valuations. For example, AMZN's trading at a discount to WMT, which makes no sense. GOOG is trading at 19x earnings. Thinks AAPL growth will be double digit. This is your chance to buy quality companies at reasonable valuations. See his Top Picks.

HOLD
AAPL vs. AMZN

Down 19% from recent highs. PEG ratio is 2x. Discounted due to concerns over momentum in China, but he thinks that's overplayed. If he had to choose today, he'd choose AMZN because it's a bit cheaper.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 09/24, Up 25.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with AAPL has triggered its stop at $212.  To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 25%.

BUY

Bears don't like Apple here. Now trades at 30x PE. But Apple has 1.3 billion users. They will have a foldable phone next year.

WAIT

Own, don't trade this Is -30% from highs, including a sharp sell-off today. Buying into weakness has gotten you hurt, so stand back and wait a bit. Tariffs will raise the price of an iPhone from $550 to $850, though costs could be lower because of manufacturing shifting to India. Apple is stuck in a trade war between the US and China. A tough call. 

TOP PICK

Tech leader, but beaten up badly due to tariff concerns. Down ~30% from recent highs. Iconic brand, strong cashflow, loyal customer base. Giant revenue generator. Services segment has very high margins, is expanding, with very stable revenue stream. That will cushion all the near-term uncertainties. Pricing power. 

Actively diversifying production outside of China. Wearables are part of the growthier area of the business. Right at the 200-week MA of long-term support. Pretty good medium- and long-term entry point. Solid balance sheet, disciplined capital allocation. Steady 15% earnings growth going forward. Yield is 0.52%.

(Analysts’ price target is $239.68)