COMMENT

Don't expect much from PM Carney meeting Trump today, but it's interesting Trump's change in tone after the Canadian election with the 51st state talk dying down. Will the tone between the two leaders be more cordial? Meanwhile, the US is losing its dominance--the US has had decades of trade deficits building that has been putting dollars into the hands of foreign entities which have bough US assets hand over fist. This has culminated in the greatest run in the S&P, from 2010-present. But this is starting to fray and unwind. Canada has poor energy prices, under tariff threats and high housing prices (though gold is hitting highs), but still, Canadian stocks are more in demand that US ones. The US stance on tariffs will lead to stagflation, which is a tough time to make money in markets. He likes utilities and infrastructure, which are export opportunities for Canada, and backed by federal leadership. LNG should be Ottawa's focus; the first phase of LNG Canada should happen later this year that he hopes leads to a decision on phase 2. He likes the nat gas space.

PARTIAL SELL

Now is a good time to take some money off the table. Financials have outperformed the fundamentals in the next few years. Wait for a better entry point, when the market dips as it did in early April, which he expects in the near future. Good company, track record and dividend. No problem with SLF fundamentally.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 24/24, Up 1%)

Still believes in it as a long-term investment. Tailwinds include decommissioning their copper infrastructure, selling some of their real estate and they are past the fiber-inflexible point in their investment. Cash flow growth looks good for years to come and should support the dividend. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 24/24, Down 16%)

Has been hurt by continued negativity towards renewables, not helped by Trump's election. They continue to sign major supply renewal deals with tech companies. There still needs to be a lot of renewable power to be built, and BEP is one of the best at it. Collect the 6.75% dividend as you wait, and average in.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 24/24, Up 5%)

It was much better last October before US tariffs happened. He doesn't expect SIS will suffer much or any tariff impact, because they are covered under USMCA and are considered medical products for the elderly. He likes the demographic trend of aging at home, especially post-pandemic. They are streamlining operations and growing margins.

COMMENT

They're the best Canadian operator in this space, but there are many sophisticated private ones as well. The competition is fierce. Also, it will get harder to staff these places. Thirdly, there's the uncertainty over interest rates. He looked at during the pandemic and knew it would do well after the pandemic, but passed for these reasons. CSH has done well since then and will continue to do well, but isn't sure what will drive it much higher. It's a steady eddy, a good company, but unfortunately one he passed on.

TOP PICK

Has a global footprint. If you have a TFSA or RRSP, you can buy the partnership units and receive the same dividend as on the corporate units but at a 25% discount--a good value in those accounts. Good dividend growth ahead, paying 5.59% now.

(Analysts’ price target is $54.90)
TOP PICK

Is a long-term hold. It's focused on gas and natural gas, which boasts great fundamentals. Arc is the top nat gas developer in Canada and owns a lot of its infrastructure, so are vertically integrated. The 2.93% dividend and cash flow are growing. Buy below $25, if you can.

(Analysts’ price target is $32.42)
TOP PICK

Competition has withered away. Pays no dividend. He's held this through some tough periods. The problem with a seat suppliers seems to be resolved. Huge backlog. They can withstand tariffs. If they deliver some buses in Q2, 3 and 4, the stock will look good in 12 months.

(Analysts’ price target is $20.50)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

The shipping sector has come under increasing pressure as the speculation of US tariffs continues.  Earnings estimates for ASC have been heavily discounted into the share price, so if there is any upside impacting the shipping sector the stock should respond very positively.  It trades at 8x earnings, under book value and supports a ROE of 21%.  We continue to recommend a stop at $8.50, looking to achieve $12.50 -- upside potential of 25%.  Yield 4.6%

(Analysts’ price target is $12.50)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Housing starts have slowed in the US due to tariff uncertainty; however, with trade talks with Canada getting underway in a positive way the fear of rising home building costs may be subsiding.  It trades at 7x earnings, at book value and supports a 16% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $47) to $52, looking to achieve $73 -- upside potential of 25%.  Yield 0%

(Analysts’ price target is $73.38)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate PYPL, a leader in online payment systems, as a TOP PICK.  The company is introducing AI into its platform for payments that could well be a game changer and renew their position as the market leader.  It trades at 15x earnings (half its historical valuation), 3.2x book and supports a ROE of 22%.  Cash reserves are once again growing while shares are aggressively bought back.  We continue to recommend a stop at $57, looking to achieve $81 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 0%

(Analysts’ price target is $80.94)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 26/24, Up 0%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with DVN has triggered its stop at $31.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 21/23, Down 8.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BNTX has triggered its stop at $95.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 20/25, Down 7.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CPAY is stagnating.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $240) to $270 at this time.