They rallied last summer, then faced headwinds last fall when a cancer drug failed to perform in trials and there was an investigation in their large Chinese business. Both problems are clearing now. They have a drug pipeline that should become a great growth story. Trades at 15x PE.
A year it ago, it traded at a dirt cheap 6-7x PE. Many thought it was left for dead with bad insurance contracts. In Dec. 2023, they sold a lot of those contracts at a decent price. That's when he entered this. But he recently sold this to buy TD (which has more upside).
Volatile the past year, though paying great returns. After a sleepy history, it is now benefitting from the AI build-out as it works with Broadcom. The recent downturn is tied to headlines of a slowdown in building date centres. Ultimately, revenues will increase over 2-3 years, and the 2028 outlook will drive this stock higher.
He owns a small holding. Likes their growth profile from their weight-loss drug; they will continue to take market share from Novo Nordisk. The big news this week was that drug shortages were over. They lowered the price too. But shares are expensive at 20x PE on 2028 numbers--expensive for a pharmaceutical. It's had a big run, so he's not adding shares, but trimming.
Has benefitted from gen AI growth. Dominant, they just surpassed Walmart as the biggest global retailer. They continue to invest in faster delivery, and are increasing Prime memberships. He sees strong growth in profits, taking market share in the cloud. He earns 10% net margins, which he expects to double in 6-7 years. Shares have pulled back 15% recently.
(Analysts’ price target is $268.84)The luxury market has been weak after the post-Covid boom. Chinese consumers are a major factor. Plus, their Gucci brand wasn't resonating with consumers. Their designer tried to make the brand more into leather goods and classic fashions, but that isn't what Gucci is about. They have a new designer, so he sees upside. Long-term, he likes luxury goods for being stable and an oligopoly. It trades at 17x PE forward where mid-20s is the norm, so there's room here.
(Analysts’ price target is $22.60)
He owns the quarterly debentures. It was a good story, but now stuck in neutral. Sales and revenue growth are lumpy, because they depend on contracts (in infrastructure). Has disappointed investors. He will let his debentures mature in 2026. They have cash to buy companies as revenue grows. It's worth holding onto.