PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 12/24, Up 15%)

It's broken out since mid-July in a solid run. We're late in the overall cycle in which energy, materials and staples thrive, because this is when inflation comes back. Unfortunately, he expects inflation to return in 2025. Staples can pass on inflation to consumers.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 12/24, Up 11%)

It broke out since mid-July but has been sideways lately. As long as the stock holds at lows around $44, fine, but if it breaks below that, there will likely be more downside.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 12/24, Up 1%)

It broke out in mid July, but declined starting in September due to interest rates. He expects interest rates to actually rise in 2025 in the US.

PARTIAL BUY

 A beautiful chart. Let it run. But next year, he expects a correction, 15-20%. However, you can nibble at this now to build a position.

COMMENT
The Canadian dollar

He's been wrong on this. Commercial hedgers have been quite long the CAD and remain so. Starting to see this on the Euro as well. He follows the commercial hedgers, who aren't always right, though. The next target for the CAD is 65 cents. The CAD is trying to find a floor. The 72-cent level is key; if we rise above that, it's positive. Watch 72 cents. Don't short the CAD. Probably, most of the bad new is priced in, so we could see a sharp snapback in the CAD. All this is driven by interest rates, particularly the US which look extended.

DON'T BUY

It was rangebound in 2022-2023, but has recently broken to new lows. Not a great chart. Note that the energy chart (XEG) has been in a choppy trading range the past year with little real movement. But money managers seeking dividends have been moving out of telcos and into energy, which are now worth considering. Veren looks weak, though. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It had a big downtrend from late 2021 to late 2023. Like the rails, this has come off sharply of late. There's likely more downside coming. If the stock breaks above the August low around $115, you can add more. Now, we'll likely see a bounce to that $115 resistance, but doubt this will rise above that. 

TOP PICK

Gold itself has had a big move since early 2023. He had targeted $2,600 for gold, but it hit $2,800, but there are signs that gold is moving down. If interest rates in the US move higher, it will be a big headwind for gold. He expects gold to pull back to $2,450 in 2025, or 10% down.

DON'T BUY

Compare this to the chart of gold prices or XGD, and ABX is very different, lagging. Instead of Barrick, look at leaders like Agnico Eagle.

PARTIAL SELL

It popped recently, but it's not a good chart. Trim in tax-loss selling, if you hold.

TOP PICK

Energy stocks have been sideways this year, but TVE is pushing higher. It pays a 3.5% dividend yield. For the past 2 years, natural gas has gone sideways, but in recent weeks, it has broken to the upside. This is exciting, showing a change in trend.

(Analysts’ price target is $5.80)
TOP PICK

Pays a dividend of 8.1%, good for income. While energy stocks have been sideways this year, Peyto moved up. A great chart, and a leader in energy.

(Analysts’ price target is $18.15)
TOP PICK

If he's right about a correction in 2025, money managers will rotate into defensive areas like staples, utilities, healthcare and REITs. Their chart was in a big downtrend in recent years. PFE's chart has a double bottom this year. Relative strength is moving up. Also, volumes has popped around $25 (trough). The risk/reward is good. You're paid 6.5% to wait, too. $25 is big technical support.

(Analysts’ price target is $32.04)