Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Jim Cramer - Mad Money commented about whether BBAI-N, UPS-N, AN-N, SWBI-Q, INOD-Q, WOOF-Q, CHWY-N, EL-N, AAPL-Q, DAL-N, JETS-N, KO-N, SPOT-N, APP-Q, TD-T, CIF-T, BN-T, BRK.B-N, ZUE-T, ZSP-T are stocks to buy or sell.
The end of the Assad regime in Syria will impact North Americans through oil prices and energy stocks. We saw an initial uptick in futures and ultimately this will translate into inflation. Also, Trump wants to pump, baby, pump oil, which will lead to a supply offset. He read that because the US is the top producer, there's already underinvestment going forward; in a few years, US production numbers will come off due to this under-investment. Tech: we're in the early stages of the battle for tech supremacy and semis are in the middle of it. China: given Trump's rhetoric, expect volatility next year in emerging markets.
With the CAD declining vs. USD, it's time to think about locking in gains. Consider ZSP (S&P) vs. ZUE (S&P currency-hedged) where the difference lies in the exchange rate. Also consider if you're trading in a taxable account or not. As CAD weakens, ZSP (having more US exposure) will outperform. Therefore, ZUE (hedged) will outperform once the CAD gets stronger. In a registered account, sell ZSP and buy ZUE. If in a tax account, this is an individual financial planning decision.
With the CAD declining vs. USD, it's time to think about locking in gains. Consider ZSP (S&P) vs. ZUE (S&P currency-hedged) where the difference lies in the exchange rate. Also consider if you're trading in a taxable account or not. As CAD weakens, ZSP (having more US exposure) will outperform. Therefore, ZUE (hedged) will outperform once the CAD gets stronger. In a registered account, sell ZSP and buy ZUE. If in a tax account, this is an individual financial planning decision.
That doesn't exist. The premium derives from volatility, but there's less volatility in shorter-term bonds, because the price doesn't fluctuate much. However, in the US, you can buy an IEI, which is a bond note that gives 3-7-year exposure and you can't write your own calls to get the additional premium.
Minor exposure and limited impact. Foreign investment in Canada, if that money leaves (due to a weaker investment climate here), it will have little impact on Canadian markets and multiples; the flows are not that big.
This holds mines, pipelines, electric utilities, engineering and construction, a mix he likes. It consists of 44% US companies and 40% Canadian. Overall, this is okay, but it's narrow, exposed to a couple of infrastructure sectors. Pays a little over 3% dividend, but is sensitive to interest rates. If inflation climbs again, CIF will struggle. The best of the infrastructure trend is past; inflation will come back a bit.
The Bank of Canada this week is expected to cut interest rates again, likely by 50 points. He expect by the end of 2025 the BOC will cut only another 50-75 points for all of 2025. Next week, the US Fed will cut too, though they are cutting less aggressively, because the US is seeing an uptick in inflation there, though Canada will. If US inflation data this week is hotter than expected, the Fed will pause. The BOC will cut because the Canadian unemployment rate is now at 6.8% because the participation rate has ticked up. Back up to 2023 through much of 2024, Canada saw a decline in that participation rate. He estimates that if the participation rate returns to normal, which is higher, then the unemployment rate will hit 8%, which is the 50-year average. We're quickly returning to those levels. Employment is driving the BOC decision. Therefore, the BOC will seriously slow down rate cuts in 2025. Also, expect more weakness in the CAD. In the US, inflation this week could come in hotter than expected, which will limit the US Fed's rate cuts.
It sank over 14% because the street expected it to join the S&P, something many traders were gambling on. An early-stage e-commerce play that could be wildly successful. They're so good with their mobile-gaming technology that they're going all in with videogame ads through free videogames. There could be something big here.
Was sideways this year, but since lows of early August, this has rallied 53%, an amazing run. The airlines are a trade, not an investment, and it's time to take some profits. That said, leisure travel is hanging in while business travel is finally returning. Domestic airline capacity has stopped increasing as much as in previous years: 6.3% capacity growth for 2024 as estimated last January vs. 4.4% estimates for 2024 from last October. Boeing's strike and other woes didn't help the supply chain.