Navigating turbulent markets. His business model and methodology are built for these times. He does well in bull markets, but also in bear markets that have some volatility. He has stock portfolios, but also hedges which are made up of short equity indices. It involves a lot more active management. When the market starts to roll over, he throttles up the short equity indices overlay. When there's a breather with a rally, he throttles it down. He feels for those investors who participate from the long side only. You need those tools to protect your investment and profit from the volatility and bear markets.
Advice during volatility? Active management. Usually this means you need some professionals to help pick stocks and protect what you have. It's a fact that 85% of the time, markets go up. But when you enter a market where indices are down 20% despite intermittent rallies, you need to be able to go long but also short the market. He does this using equity indices, and they become a barometer of the market. For example, only 10 days ago, he had his hedge up to about 90%. Yesterday, it was down to 30%, but today it's back up to about 80%.
Too small for his fund. He's neutral on it. Analysts' 12-month target of $4.60. Digital media AI solutions for advertisers. Cutting edge. Phone providers have privacy concerns on this type of app. You could buy in thirds here, $2.50, and 2.
Neutral on it. Cloud-based communications as a service. Buy in thirds here at $11, 10, and 9. 12-month analyst target of $17.25. Better opportunities elsewhere.
Factors for put options besides unprofitability and high PE ratios. You have to be very vigilant. If you trade options against stock positions you currently own or want to own, you have to pay attention. If they're calls or puts, roll them up and don't let it go through the strike because it can become ineffective and expensive. Requires active management when it comes to single stock options. He does it regularly when it comes to the total portfolio, using equity futures on his hedge. Once the short equity indices position exceeds 50% of the notional value of the portfolio, that's when he starts to use options. You never know how long a trend will play out in the market. So options allow you to define the cost that you're going to use for risk management. He'd recommend using the technical side, such as moving averages and RSI, to manage the market. The last 10 years has been an investing market. Last year, everything changed. Interest rates, Ukraine, lockdowns. Now it's a trading market, and you have to respect that.
Almost back to the level of fall 2020. Problems on profitability. Lower highs, lower lows. Bit of a bounce. Don't touch until you get above about $117.50. There's a big gap between $120-140, and you'll probably fill that in on one of these market rallies. Don't go beyond $140.
King of e-commerce and retail. Hints of consumer slowdown get reflected in the stock. But 70% of revenues and profits actually come from AWS, part of a secular trend to server cost-cutting and efficiency. 12-month price target of $3800. A great bargain.
(A Top Pick May 06/21, Up 41%) Cybersecurity is a trend. Diversified suite of cybersecurity IT products, a leader in 7/10 categories. 12-month target of $735, a very decent runway. Loves it. He trades in and out.
(A Top Pick May 06/21, Down 25%) Poster child for SaaS. Still likes them. He got out of everything on the software side last November, as soon as interest rates went up. 12-month target of $260, a great runway. Solid and growing revenues. Substantial increase in cashflows. Wrong place right now. Keep it on your shopping list.
Keeps coming up as one of the best bargains in this bear market. A lot of horses in the stable. 80% of revenue comes from Google Search. 97% of profits come from advertising. If you can find a monopoly out there that's growing, that's where he wants to be. 12-month target of $3330. Down 20% in the last 100 days. Buy in thirds here around $2256, $100 lower, and $100 lower than that. It should not go under $2000.
Tech on the verge of a rebound? Not yet. It's a bear market, but you can still make money. He has a solid tech portfolio of 28 names that he loves, with 45-75% upside. But you have to defend that with the hedge. He wouldn't short these individual stocks. It doesn't mean you can't have a bear market rally. In March, the market rose 16% in 2 weeks. We won't have a bear market rally until there's certainty on whether central banks can control inflation back to neutral territory.
A leader. But all software companies get painted with the same brush of a recession. Average 12-month target of $563. Buy some here around $400, 380, and 360. It shouldn't go under $350.
AI leader with lots of smart people. Great business model. Huge marketplace. 12-month target of $10.50. Employees exercising options depresses stock price. Great long-term investment. Buy here around $8, 7.50, and 7.