COMMENT
Emergency Measures Act in Canada. End goal is to choke off capital to the protestors. Unique test case for alternative financing via digital currencies. Will alternative avenues remain open? If yes, more regulations are in the cards, and it's another argument to ban them down the road.
COMMENT
Inflation. Has knocked markets back considerably. The Fed has done an abrupt u-turn on interest rate hikes and trimming the balance sheet. Caught the market off guard. Every day, the inflation numbers seem to get worse. Fed is under pressure to act. It probably put too much capital into the system, and now it has to reverse course.
COMMENT
Bright lights for investors. Three positives. GDP performance has been very strong in US and Canada. Unemployment has been strong for both countries. Reverse purchase agreements on the Fed balance sheet, used to prevent interest rates going below zero, could be unwound to easily trim the balance sheet.
DON'T BUY
Avoid. Spectacular revenue growth, but cashflows and profits have remained very weak. Share price performance down around 80% from 52-week high. One positive is very strong balance sheet. Price to sales at 9x is a negative.
COMMENT
CDRs on the NEO Exchange. Canadian Depository Receipts. Covers about 25 of the largest companies in the US. A way for Canadians to own US assets without the currency risk, as well as own fractional units. Over time, there will be more of them.
BUY
Life insurance in general is undervalued at 8-10x forward earnings. The players in Canada have strong dividend yields. EM focus in Asia and India. Earnings were somewhat disappointing. But longer term, a reasonable investment. His preference is GWO, with more of a mature market focus. See his Top Picks.
DON'T BUY
Traditionally, bonds were sold over the phone. This was inefficient. Their specialty is corporate bonds, but they do them all, domestic and emerging. Platform has been very successful, spectacular revenue growth. Business economics and balance sheet are phenomenal. Strong management. Problem is it's a tech company. Competitor has gained market share quickly. 2021 revenue growth muted. He's paused on the sector and this company.
DON'T BUY
Phenomenal product for end users, with unique capabilities. Spectacular revenue growth, but will moderate this year. Fundamentals aren't strong for earnings and cashflow. May make sense to average down, but be mindful that it will be volatile. Business is still evolving. In this challenging economic environment, he'd prefer something with a more durable moat.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Oil is riding high. Be patient and wait for a pullback. Long-life asset, vertically integrated, which makes it less sensitive to the downside but also to the upside, so it's lagged a bit. Shareholder friendly. Valuation a bit ahead of itself. High dividend.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Commodities in general have been on fire. Oil is riding high. Be patient and wait for a pullback. Keep your eye on it.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has become more shareholder friendly. Capable CEO. Fairly strong results today. Keep your eye on it in the space. Well run. Inflation could put pressure on commodity producers and give you a better entry point.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 08/21, Up 22%) Really good defensive growth. Waiting for a pullback to add for new clients. Next year, profits are expected to jump by a third. Potential for surprises, but still likes.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 08/21, Up 35%) Really likes, own for income. Resilient business model, very strong cashflows. Still a buy.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 08/21, Up 46%) Likes the business. Performing exceptionally well operationally. Scales really well. Generating more cashflow for shareholders. Trades at a discount to, let's say, BX. Undervalued. A number of catalysts could provide a valuation reset. Still a buy.
STRONG BUY
Really likes. Attractive valuation. Hidden value in the excess cash and fledgling businesses. Trades at 22x forward earnings for a very strong growth profile. Ticks all the boxes. Don't wait till the split, buy now.