COMMENT
The December low changed his mind about US stocks. It haunts him. He's gone from green to yellow. That said, the Fed is on our side and so is the US dollar. Now, if the US can get out out of its own way (re: China trade deal)... Value stocks continue to implode--they are so cheap.
COMMENT
Is there any growth in the investment business? AGF's balance sheet is too big for what they earn. Potential write-offs must happen to bring that down. Asset management businesses are being killed. $10.84 is his target price--lots of upside and they can cover their dividend.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
$45.27 is his model price, and it's close to this. He would buy at $41.
DON'T BUY
It's overvalued relative to its earnings. $38.50 is his model price, far below its current price. Pays a 4.26% yield. Telus can cover its dividend, but it is way too expensive. He would buy at $40, not now.
DON'T BUY
He models only $48.88. It pays a meager dividend. This is way overpriced. Gold is having a good run though, but he holds little gold.
SELL
Their balance sheet is a mystery. What happened in 2017? Was something spun off? $35.69 is his model price, far below current pricing. He doesn't follow EMA. Their earnings relative to balance sheet are way overpriced (and so are their peers). You had a good ride, so sell it now. This has gone too far, too fast, after hitting an all-time high.
DON'T BUY
The balance sheet is impaired and there should be write-offs, which he hasn't seen. He sees 32% upside with a $64 model price, but he'd be happy seeing this at $53.80. He would recommend this stock above this price. He has recommended MET before, but MET just can't get going. The balance sheet is ugly. Also, if interest rates fall to zero, all insurance companies will get hit.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
His model price is $24.26, below current prices, but this is book value as he sees it. SNC is interesting now (he's not recommended it before). This is worth a speculation around $23. Wait for a pullback.
DON'T BUY

The industrials are overpriced. He was excited about the Raytheon deal, but the market doesn't like it. $106.46 is his model price. There's better value elsewhere. Around $105 is interesting. Too expensive now.

PARTIAL BUY
It's right on $16.68 model price. Good 4.38% yield. This is trading at fair market value, as its peers are overpriced. Buy on a pullback, though you can buy a little now.
BUY

$79.57 is his model price, 50% higher than the current price. Dirt cheap now. He has recommended this in the past. The Amazon fear is overdone. Be patient with this value name.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Down 5%) Still loves this despite pressure on chips due to the China-US trade war. $83.07 is his model price, 77% higher than current prices. Intel isn't as cyclical as its peers. You may need to wait for the next cycle in semis though.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Down 0.5%) Flat. We don't know what will happen with interest rates. A lot of question marks with US banks, given the 2020 US election which may lead to the Democrats limiting these banks.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Up 33%) He's long held and liked this. $71.14 is his model price.
DON'T BUY
Oil in two years He can't predict oil. He won't touch this, not even at $4. They've made their balance sheet worse. His model price $5.31. There are more write-offs--and pain--to come.