Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
It's done well, as all airlines have. But he's not in this industry. Airlines are very cyclical with high fixed costs (e.g. airport landing fees, unions). Then again, this is seen as an anti-oil trade. So, you can own a big consumer of oil--airlines. He sides with the former and avoids this space entirely.
Air Canada(AC-T)
December 4, 2018
It's done well, as all airlines have. But he's not in this industry. Airlines are very cyclical with high fixed costs (e.g. airport landing fees, unions). Then again, this is seen as an anti-oil trade. So, you can own a big consumer of oil--airlines. He sides with the former and avoids this space entirely.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$27.680
Owned
No
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 4, 2018

(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Up 12%) There are $500 million of synergies up for grabs after the big merger, which could even be higher. They are ahead of plan in synergizing. Also are selling $5 billion of non-core assets. This week in Chile, they just sold a lithium mine, generating $4 billion in cash that'll go to share buybacks and dividends. There are big gains still to come.

Nutrien Ltd.(NTR-T)
December 4, 2018

(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Up 12%) There are $500 million of synergies up for grabs after the big merger, which could even be higher. They are ahead of plan in synergizing. Also are selling $5 billion of non-core assets. This week in Chile, they just sold a lithium mine, generating $4 billion in cash that'll go to share buybacks and dividends. There are big gains still to come.

Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$67.850
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 4, 2018

(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Down 14%) Midstream energy has been challenging. IPL runs several businesses: nat. gas extraction which as recovered after depressed margins last year; cash flows coming from oil pipelines; storage which has struggled. When this backwardation clears, the margins should come back. Then there's a $3.5 billion propane dehydrogenation plant that'll be a great asset, that will crank out $600 million in operating profit yearly starting in late-2021. Until then, you'll pocket the dividend above 7%.

Inter Pipeline(IPL-T)
December 4, 2018

(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Down 14%) Midstream energy has been challenging. IPL runs several businesses: nat. gas extraction which as recovered after depressed margins last year; cash flows coming from oil pipelines; storage which has struggled. When this backwardation clears, the margins should come back. Then there's a $3.5 billion propane dehydrogenation plant that'll be a great asset, that will crank out $600 million in operating profit yearly starting in late-2021. Until then, you'll pocket the dividend above 7%.

Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$21.250
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
December 4, 2018
(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Up 0.1%) It's tread water as the overall markets have been down the past year. It pays a 4% dividend which consistently grows 7%. Good returns over the course of a cycle, though maybe not every year.
Royal Bank(RY-T)
December 4, 2018
(A Top Pick Nov 30/17, Up 0.1%) It's tread water as the overall markets have been down the past year. It pays a 4% dividend which consistently grows 7%. Good returns over the course of a cycle, though maybe not every year.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$96.710
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
An enigma. Sure, their managers have grown a small company into one of the largest software companies on the TSX. Doesn't trust them, because their reporting is not transparent. Also, this is a heavy growth by acquisition story, which itself is fine, but we are in a time of rising interest rates that will weigh on this stock.
An enigma. Sure, their managers have grown a small company into one of the largest software companies on the TSX. Doesn't trust them, because their reporting is not transparent. Also, this is a heavy growth by acquisition story, which itself is fine, but we are in a time of rising interest rates that will weigh on this stock.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$928.170
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
He'd like to get interested in this, but he's not there. It's pulled back, because traffic to movie theatres has been declining (given streamers like Netflix). To its credit, Cineplex is pro-active--it has opened the Rec Room (food, dining, videogames, karaoke) and offering the VIP Lounges and serving alcohol in Ontario. Also offering digital tickets to appeal to the young. He won't jump in until they meet or exceed earnings. They just had a disastrous quarter. Too early to enter this.
Cineplex Inc(CGX-T)
December 4, 2018
He'd like to get interested in this, but he's not there. It's pulled back, because traffic to movie theatres has been declining (given streamers like Netflix). To its credit, Cineplex is pro-active--it has opened the Rec Room (food, dining, videogames, karaoke) and offering the VIP Lounges and serving alcohol in Ontario. Also offering digital tickets to appeal to the young. He won't jump in until they meet or exceed earnings. They just had a disastrous quarter. Too early to enter this.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$24.880
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
December 4, 2018
Why is it falling? Has long owned it and still likes it. Why falling? Becuase banks are a leveraged play on the Canadian economy. We are going into decelerated economic growth after it was speeding it. No, this is not heading to recession, just slowing down. Earnings growth is decreasing. But don't sell it. The dividend grows 7% annually. You won't make money in bank stocks every year, but add the dividend growth and dividend.
Toronto Dominion(TD-T)
December 4, 2018
Why is it falling? Has long owned it and still likes it. Why falling? Becuase banks are a leveraged play on the Canadian economy. We are going into decelerated economic growth after it was speeding it. No, this is not heading to recession, just slowing down. Earnings growth is decreasing. But don't sell it. The dividend grows 7% annually. You won't make money in bank stocks every year, but add the dividend growth and dividend.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$71.840
Owned
Yes