Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
SELL
SELL
December 4, 2018
Owned it a few years ago and cut his losses. Now, cut your losses. This business is struggling as an asset manager, specifically to retain and attract new clients. Also, their key managers, including the CEO, have been leaving. They won't generate much in performance fees, which has been an attraction for investors in the past.
Owned it a few years ago and cut his losses. Now, cut your losses. This business is struggling as an asset manager, specifically to retain and attract new clients. Also, their key managers, including the CEO, have been leaving. They won't generate much in performance fees, which has been an attraction for investors in the past.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$10.410
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
It's exposed to cyclical, industrial commodities. TECK produces metallurgical coal, steel and copper. They also have a stake in the Ft. Hills Oil Sands project. All these are tied to industrial production. World demand for these commodities could decrease in 2019. Given TECK's operating leverage, a 1-2% move in commodity prices could hurt their earnings 5-10%.
It's exposed to cyclical, industrial commodities. TECK produces metallurgical coal, steel and copper. They also have a stake in the Ft. Hills Oil Sands project. All these are tied to industrial production. World demand for these commodities could decrease in 2019. Given TECK's operating leverage, a 1-2% move in commodity prices could hurt their earnings 5-10%.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$28.780
Owned
Unknown
BUY
BUY
December 4, 2018
Threatened by online shopping? He likes it, because it dominates grocers in Canada with good real estate. It's a little vulnerable to online shopping, but grocers like Loblaw won't be affected much. Also, Loblaw has click-and-collect e-shopping where a customer orders groceries online then picks them up. He expects double-digit earnings growth after Loblaw absorbs minimum wage hikes and provincial drug reform and inflation from transportation costs. He'd buy it here.
Loblaw Companies Ltd (L-T)
December 4, 2018
Threatened by online shopping? He likes it, because it dominates grocers in Canada with good real estate. It's a little vulnerable to online shopping, but grocers like Loblaw won't be affected much. Also, Loblaw has click-and-collect e-shopping where a customer orders groceries online then picks them up. He expects double-digit earnings growth after Loblaw absorbs minimum wage hikes and provincial drug reform and inflation from transportation costs. He'd buy it here.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$61.250
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
It's a case on not buying stocks at an IPO. IPO expectations were too high, and Roots has struggled since then. There are forecasts that in 2020 it will earn 73-cents a share vs. 90 cents at the IPO. Managers overpromised at the IPO, so the stock got punished. It trades at 5.6x enterprise value to EBITDA, lower than its peers. But he fears that expectations are still wildly unrealistic. Doesn't see 49% earnings growth in a time when sales are moderating.
Roots Corporation (ROOT-T)
December 4, 2018
It's a case on not buying stocks at an IPO. IPO expectations were too high, and Roots has struggled since then. There are forecasts that in 2020 it will earn 73-cents a share vs. 90 cents at the IPO. Managers overpromised at the IPO, so the stock got punished. It trades at 5.6x enterprise value to EBITDA, lower than its peers. But he fears that expectations are still wildly unrealistic. Doesn't see 49% earnings growth in a time when sales are moderating.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$4.540
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
December 4, 2018
Likes this, because 96% of their revenues are regulated--guaranteed. They manage 11 regional electric and nat. gas utilities. Very stable demand. They have big capital expansion projects in Arizona, northern Ontario and elsewhere. A great homegrown story. Very well-managed.
Fortis Inc. (FTS-T)
December 4, 2018
Likes this, because 96% of their revenues are regulated--guaranteed. They manage 11 regional electric and nat. gas utilities. Very stable demand. They have big capital expansion projects in Arizona, northern Ontario and elsewhere. A great homegrown story. Very well-managed.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$46.930
Owned
Yes
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 4, 2018
Not fond of it. His worry is the lack of regional diversity. (It's based in Quebec.) They also lack a wealth management business. They stumbled last year when they suffered a scandal over mortgage underwriting that rattled investor confidence.
Laurentian Bank (LB-T)
December 4, 2018
Not fond of it. His worry is the lack of regional diversity. (It's based in Quebec.) They also lack a wealth management business. They stumbled last year when they suffered a scandal over mortgage underwriting that rattled investor confidence.
Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$40.810
Owned
No
BUY
BUY
December 4, 2018

Has owned this for five years. Great growth, bigger and more diversified than ever. But the last three quarters underperformed. They bought Innovia in 2016 and have struggled to integrate it. But their major input cost is resin, so the current decline in oil prices will reduce costs and raise earnings. A lot of their products go into consumer packaged goods, which are not cyclical and won't get hit in a downturn.

Has owned this for five years. Great growth, bigger and more diversified than ever. But the last three quarters underperformed. They bought Innovia in 2016 and have struggled to integrate it. But their major input cost is resin, so the current decline in oil prices will reduce costs and raise earnings. A lot of their products go into consumer packaged goods, which are not cyclical and won't get hit in a downturn.

Brian Madden
Senior VP & Portfolio Manager, Goodreid Investment Council
Price
$54.180
Owned
Yes