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Market. For him, this is the best time of year. A lot of people wait until the end of the year to Sell their losers. It’s the simple law of supply and demand that puts more supply out there, therefore the price generally goes down. He gets to take advantage of that. This year there is going to be less tax loss selling because stocks have done well. He isn’t looking to buy a lot of stocks, perhaps 3 to 7.

COMMENT

The Dimension Fund (contrarian investors) has been buying to add to their position. When they buy into a company, that is a good sign for a lot of investors. This company has been a fascinating topic of conversation over the past few years. They were doing too many takeovers and taking on way too much debt. Still has a big debt load, but have been paying it off and he can see how this could be a good turnaround play. Because of their debt, there are still dangers out there.

COMMENT

The stock is incredibly hot, and the whole field is hot. If you can choose the right company, you can do very, very well. The difficulty is choosing the right company. He only buys companies that have been around for at least 10 years. They just completed a takeover of a large greenhouse company. A lot of people are going to be burned in this area.

BUY

This is on his Buy list. It pays a nice $.05 quarterly dividend. Just reported earnings, and looked really bad because their Addition L subsidiary, took a big write down of about $26 million. There are difficulties in the retail space, however their same-store sales were up on their bricks and mortars stores. They’re also up in terms of the Internet. This is a good fit.

COMMENT

IPO’s are generally fools’ plays. If you buy into an IPO, odds are it is going to be down a year later. It’s great for the people selling. Often the price is inflated as they want to get it out there and make a lot of money. BV is about $1.70. There doesn’t seem to be tremendous value. He wouldn’t rush out to buy this, but it is certainly better value than it was at its IPO.

COMMENT

Doesn’t know this company well. He likes to see a company where the stock price has dropped 33% in the past 52 weeks and is trading at the lower end of its 10-year range.

COMMENT

His initial sell target on this is $38, so thinks it still has quite a way to go. Thinks it will keep going up and their bottom line will keep on improving for the next little while.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 22/16. Up 17%.) A huge Dutch company that is in many, many countries. This could go up quite a bit. He can see it getting back over $20.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 22/16. Up 37%.) 2018 might end up being a really good year. They’re making money now and have stemmed the revenue decline. John Chen keeps on hitting his targets.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 22/16. Down 48%.) Just announced they are setting up a committee which is going to really look at operations and the board. He is happy to hold this, but there is not a lot to get excited about.

COMMENT

In some way, this company has transitioned positively. They now have revenues. Have lowered their operating costs. Still losing a lot of money, about $12 million last quarter. A few years ago, they had around 90 million shares, but now have about 307 million shares, which makes it very, very hard on the upside. There could be a further dilution. Speculative.

COMMENT

Doesn’t know this very well. REITs is a very hot field. A lot of people are saying apartments are the way to go. Thinks there are some major things that might hit the economy such as huge debt loads, both government and personal. Also, real estate prices have gone up like crazy, although they have cooled to some degree, but could still fall quite a bit.

COMMENT

This had an amazing turnaround, but it has come off lately. It’s way too expensive for him. He likes stocks that have come off. This company is a leader in its field.

COMMENT

Gold is not cheap enough to be a contrarian play. There are some gold companies that he likes. With this one, you get into the political scene in Greece. They’ve had all kinds of difficulties, and continue to do so.

COMMENT

An 8% dividend is about the point where he starts to get nervous about a company. If it is much higher than 8%, often the market is correct. The company has great management and a long history. If real estate gets hit, a lot of companies are going to take it on the chin. Dividend yield of 8.4%.