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Likes the longer-term outlook, not only for the fact that in a rising rate environment insurance companies tend to benefit, but also in the way they have been able to change their business mix over the years, with an emphasis more on wealth management, pension planning and retirements. They are well positioned in the US. This is a company you can be very comfortable in owning going forward.
Enbridge (ENB-T) or Inter Pipeline (IPL-T)? Both are out of favour now, but are 2 of the better pipeline stocks you can be invested in. Has long admired this company, which tends to be a little more expensive over time, but you are paying for very high-quality management. They’ve done some job of deploying the resources. Both companies have fairly well defined CapX programs going forward. You could probably expect more rapid increases in dividends from this company. Both stocks would be vulnerable to a rising rate environment.
Enbridge (ENB-T) or Inter Pipeline (IPL-T)? Both are out of favour now, but are 2 of the better pipeline stocks you can be invested in. Enbridge tends to be a little more expensive over time, but you are paying for very high-quality management. Both companies have well defined CapX programs going forward. You could probably expect more rapid increases in dividends from Enbridge. One unknown with this company is, will they go ahead with the big petrochemical plant. Both stocks would be vulnerable to a rising rate environment.
In the last day or so, we have seen a few of the mining stocks suffering from fairly rapid setbacks. What was driving this company up to now was a very good met coal market. Right now, he thinks people are stepping back and saying “We have seen some strength in commodities lately, but how sustainable is it, and how likely is it going to last.” The pullbacks might be a bit of a buying opportunity.
Hurricanes cause a disruption of services, but it is going to be temporary. You have to look at the bigger picture. Airlines appear to be facing more and more competition. Has always been wary of airline stocks as you are dealing with extremely expensive aircraft and largely unionized employees and a very competitive environment for price setting. Airlines have had a good run over the last while, and if he owned any, he would be taking profits.
He likes this a lot and admires its management. Probably the foremost producer in Canada without being integrated. A real benchmark for the energy industry. Superbly run, and has always maintained a good solid balance sheet. That allows them to take advantage when opportunities arise. Lately they’ve made some significant acquisitions, and he expects that will continue going forward.
The dominant one in grocery chains in Canada. The grocery industry lately has seen food deflation. Some are facing higher labour costs if minimum wage initiatives go forward, which will be fairly significant to a company like this. He prefers to own this through George Weston (WN-T), which gives you the bakery business as an added diversification. In groceries, this company would be his 1st choice.
An extremely well-managed company. Until recently, it has always looked expensive to him, relative to some of the alternatives in the oil patch. It is nearing areas now where it is beginning to hit his screens, and he is beginning to take a closer look at it. This could be a good opportunity.
Out of all the Canadian telecoms, he primarily looks at this one. They’ve always had the advantage of having the grandfather position in Canada. Lately, they’ve been changing their model a bit and going more to wireless, with less dependence on their wire line offerings. Also, the provision of Internet services is becoming a bigger and bigger thing. We are seeing a huge movement in the industry to Internet protocol, whether TV, telephone or whatever. This company is going to be one of the primary beneficiaries of that. Feels we may be reaching a plateau with all the telecoms, and he wouldn’t be surprised to see them all pause. Dividend yield of 4.9%.
(A Top Pick Nov 4/16. Down 40%.) Had bought this with its clean balance sheet, etc. and then they made a gigantic acquisition which transformed it. However, they’ve been very successful at disposing of some assets, and he expects they will close on some more dispositions before year-end. They know they have to address the balance sheet problem.
(A Top Pick Nov 4/16. Down 43%.) The whole market was somewhat askance at how the situation on this was handled. It literally caused a run on the bank. Also, for a while, it was tenuous as to whether this would survive. It fell so fast, that he decided not to dump his shares. His feeling was that the fundamentals of this business were still intact. They’ve managed to execute a recovery which was very astute. This was followed by Warren Buffett stepping in, and funding costs started going down. Recently announced they were going to stop paying some of the excessive rates they were paying on GICs, etc. He is still buying shares.
(A Top Pick Nov 4/16. Up 23%.) Still considers this as a Buy. It is nice if you can get it under $30. They will be impacted a little by the hurricane as they had 12 stores in the islands, which would have represented about 10% of pre-tax profit. Giant Tiger has been lagging, but they have been doing some tremendous adjustments in their management of product in the far North, and margins and market share have been going up. Has a new delivery system with the air transport that they purchased. Good company and good dividend.
This has had its share of difficulties over the years, with some fixed price contracts that went overpriced. There was also a slowdown in energy industry, and they were largely exposed to Alberta at the time. They’ve made attempts to diversify. With the proposed spending going forward on infrastructure, their industrial segment should pick up. Believes this still has significant upside.
An ETF of Canadian large caps with a proven track record and growing dividends for an RESP? With a managed ETF, you are going to get a little more diversification. You could also do this by selecting a couple of sector ETF’s, and putting them together as sort of a complement. He would tend to do this with 2 or 3 different ETF’s, such as some that are exposed to Canadian financials, and then buying one that is partially exposed to some energy, and partially to some industrial.
Market. There are some risks in the market right now, but they have been building for some time. We’ve had a long run of good markets without any significant pullback. No one ever knows where or when or why it is going to happen. You watch valuations and things begin to look a little more expensive, and it is harder to find things you are comfortable buying. Over the last 6-8 months, he has been a net seller as opposed to a buyer. Cash positions are building a little. It is probably prudent at this time in the cycle to have some cash on the sidelines in case you do see some sort of significant pullback, whether it is set off by a geopolitical event, an economic event.