WAIT

Technically it has been in a downward trend lately. Seasonality, it is very similar to the banks. We are in a period right now where the stock is probably going to continue to press the support levels. If it holds, that’s great. There is no real rush to be a buyer until you get into early October.

WAIT

Technicals are not looking good. There are some encouraging signs in that it has recently formed a trading range, and very briefly broke above it. Gold/Silver stocks do very well from the middle of July through to October. Wait for this to get down to the bottom of its trading range, and look for technical signs that it is starting to outperform.

DON'T BUY

On a seasonal basis, base metal stocks have done well from around October until around April each year. Technically, it is in a downward trend, underperforming the market, momentum indicators on the downside. This is an example of the technicals and the seasonal just not coming together. When you see that, you are better off looking for opportunities elsewhere.

DON'T BUY

This has a very strong seasonality. There are 2 periods of seasonal strength. October through until January and April through until the middle of July. Recently, the stock has been in a trading range and broke a key support, establishing a downward trend, and is underperforming the market.

HOLD

The chart is looking pretty good. Currently it is in an upward trend, and recently broke to new highs, so technically it looks good. Seasonally, it has done very well until around the end of July, when it tends to peak out and roll over. Hold the stock for now, but watch the technicals very closely. If it starts to roll over, that will be the time to take some money off the table.

WATCH

On a seasonal basis, chemical stocks have a period of seasonal strength from around the 2nd week of October right through until the end of April. After that, they have a tendency to be flat or move lower. This has now reached the end of its seasonal strength, so now you have to decide when to take your money off the table. Hang on until you see technical signs of it rolling over.

SELL

Technically, this is not looking good. It is in a downward trend and has actually been to new lows today. Wait until the stock shows signs of bottoming. Historically, energy stocks do not do well from around now until approximately October. Now is not a good time to own the stock and it is probably best to take your money off the table.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 8/17. Up 1%.) They came out with their quarterly results a couple of days ago and blew the door off on their 4th quarter results. Seasonally, this goes higher right through to the end of July. Every year there are the European air shows, and whenever that happens, there is anticipation of airplane sales. This runs from June 19th to 26th.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 8/17.) At this time of year, you have to be more cautious about being in equity markets. Since May 9, the Dow Jones industrial average goes up .9%, but the TSE composite went down .3%. Between the middle of June and the middle of October, you want to be even more cautious.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 8/17. Up 4%.) The biotech sector does very well at this time of year. This is because there are a number of healthcare conferences at this time of year, when all the major pharmaceutical and biotech companies come out with results of their research. This is still good until July.

WATCH

This has very strong seasonal characteristics from around the end of January right through until early May. Technically, this is outperforming the market and has an upward trend. A lot of the other US financial service stocks have come under a lot of technical pressure in the last little while. It is kind of vulnerable, overvalued on a technical and seasonal basis. Stick with it until you start to see signs of technical weakness.

N/A

Healthcare? The healthcare sector has a lot of things going for it right now. There is currently a big conference in Chicago with lots of news coming out about new products, particularly in the cancer area. Seasonally, healthcare does very well through until about the middle of July. However, look for healthcare providers, such as hospitals stocks, as they are outperforming the healthcare sector. Also, check for healthcare implement providers which are also outperforming the healthcare sector.

COMMENT

Technicals are not looking too good. The stock is already in a downward trend and it actually broke to new lows. Momentum indicators are on the downside. This is not a good situation to be in right now. Seasonally, the stock has not performed well once you get past the beginning of May. There has to be better opportunities elsewhere.

COMMENT

This has had a nice pull up in the last little while. Historically it has done very well as we get closer to the Paris air show, June 19-25 this year. There is anticipation that they are going to have additional sales at the air show. Historically, the stock does sell off after the air show.

COMMENT

This stock has nothing to do with seasonality. Technically, the chart shows it is in a trading range, but has been in a downward trend. It is holding its support in the $590 level. If that support level holds, that’s great, but if it doesn’t, then there is a problem.