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This has everything you can think of that is tools related, from your head all the way down to your toes; cardiovascular, stent. The dominant player in medical technologies. Trading at 17X next year’s earnings. Had a hiccup last quarter, but all they had to do was show that things were back on track. He likes this.
They have a pipeline of drugs, but the clear driver is going to be its immuno oncology platform. When you look through to 2020, that is going to be about 55% of its revenues. They have their combo with Opdivo Oeuvre which is coming out later this year. Don’t be naïve to the risks that are associated here. Roche is coming in 2nd line lung cancer and are capturing market share. This will trade off of the other companies. He owns all 3.
He is on the more optimistic side of this company. It has Humira, the largest selling drug in inflammatory related diseases. Because of that, they are going off patent. Everybody knows there is going to be competition for Humira, which he feels is being factored in to their forward earnings. They’ve known this too and have been building out their pipelines. He likes their 4% dividend. PE is going from 11 to 9 next year, a one-time PEG ratio. You are not paying a lot for the growth.
He likes this and their diversified business line. They’ve got vaccines, pharmaceuticals and their consumer health. Their pipeline tends to be a little bit earlier. Advair does end up as a generic this year, and have fully indicated that in their guidance. The upside could be if we don’t see that generic hit the market this year. There have been some delays in other generic hitting the market. That would be pure upside. Good yield.
Their consumer line is very small on a relative basis, sub 10%. The company is fully diversified. A $325 billion market cap. You are paying a little bit lower than a broader market multiple. They have the ability to really commercialize a drug. Their recent acquisition of Actelion sounds like it is earnings accretive slightly this year and above market growth next year, with greater exposure into the lung market.
This company has the Mojo right now. Their drugs are definitely working. They have the first-line treatment in very specific lung cancer. Has a huge pipeline of trials going on with Keytruda. He continues to think immuno oncology is fast growing and that there is going to be further positive results coming out over the next couple of years. Dividend yield of 2.88%. (Analysts’ price target is $69.11.)
The dominant licensee of Blue Cross Blue Shield in 14 states. About 1 in 9 Americans have insurance through them. There are some very structural, positive tailwinds for the medical managed care organizations over the next couple of years. Dividend yield of 1.59%. (Analysts’ price target is $175.75.)
Just added this in January. The company has a blood cancer drug that is really going to be the dominant player in that space. Has a huge pipeline of trials that are coming out with Revlimid . Also, diversifying their pipeline with Otezla. Between now and 2020, they are going to double revenues, and they don’t need success in their pipeline to do so. Trading at 16.9X forward earnings, and that grows down to 14X 24 months out. (Analysts’ price target is $140.27.)
(A Top Pick June 22/16. Up 17.44%.) They are the dominant medical insurer. The transition from straight Medicare to Medicare Advantage will be a positive tailwind for them. There are some tax benefits coming down the pipeline that will be positive for them. The only US medical insurer that is integrated with its pharmacy benefit manager, which is proving to be positive.