Because he considers this to be a utility stock, utility stocks normally do very well in the summertime. Technically it looks very good. Recently broke to a new high. It’s in an upward trend and is outperforming the Canadian market and is above its 20 day moving average. RSIs are positive. A very attractive situation.
Bank stocks in Canada have very distinctive seasonality. They are different than seasonality for US banks. Seasonality runs from September through until the end of November when they report their 4th quarter results. Then they don’t do much until around the end of February, when they again go into a period of seasonal strength. That usually lasts until about May. Chart shows signs of bottoming, but we are not at the end of February yet. When you see them bottoming, that will be a sign to play the next seasonal trade.
(A Top Pick Nov 30/15. Down 11.91%.) An example of the right idea but the wrong investment product. The idea was that the US$ was peaking at 100, and was going to start going lower, which was going to help commodity prices in general. It turns out this particular product is heavily weighted in energy.
The forest products sector has very, very strong seasonality. The strength is from the middle of October through until the beginning of April. The longer-term trend is still on the upside. He is looking for it to continue to move higher. If you break the level from last fall, that is the key because you could have a spurt up to around $1.92.
The company has not been around long enough to give a seasonality assessment. However, the technicals look reasonably good. The chart shows that it is in an upward trend and is outperforming the market. In the last couple of weeks it has had a bit of a difficult time, but the scenario is quite positive on a technical basis. Watch the technicals very, very closely. If they show signs of rolling over, that will be an opportunity to take some profits.
Typical of most of the US financial service stocks, they tend to do very well from around February right through until May of each year. Technically the chart shows this is in a longer-term upward trend. If it breaks above the 2015 high, which was an all-time high, that would be very, very bullish. The scenario is positive for another good move to the upside.
This includes all the US railroads as well as the airlines. This has just entered into a period of seasonal strength which continues right through until May of each year. Of greater importance, the transportation sector has started to show signs of outperformance in the last couple of weeks. Has started to outperform the market which is really important at this time of the year. It could get back to the $151 level during this period of seasonal strength.
This has had a huge move in the last little while. Had a break above a base building pattern. Technically you have to like this stock. On a seasonal basis, this does very well right through until around the end of February, or approximately when the annual prospectors’ convention is held in Toronto, March 6-March 9. During their convention, that is a great time to take some very good profits.
Not sure of the seasonality, but technicals are very interesting. Has been forming a nice little base pattern, unlike Cameco (CCO-T). Has been outperforming the TSX in the last few weeks, has positive momentum and has been forming a trading range. If it breaks above the resistance level, then you are going to see the stock take a move, probably back up close to the $1 level. Watch for encouragement from the company, particularly on the exploration front.
Canadian $. This has a period of seasonal strength from the beginning of March through until the end of April. This coincides with the strength in oil and an improving industrial production. The bad news is that technically we are in a long downward trend. There are some early signs of bottoming which is fairly encouraging. You want to see more confirmation that it has actually reached its low.
Seasonality for this and the auto industry in general is from around the end of February right through until May of each year. The key is to watch for the possibility of the seasonality characteristics coming into the stock sometime around the end of this month. Technically, it is not so good right now. It’s in a downward trend and is underperforming the market. Short-term momentum indicators are still on the downside. Around the end of this month, if the technicals start to show signs of bottoming, that will be the opportunity to Buy.
Historically US banks start to show positive performance around this time of year, and move higher right through until approximately the beginning of May. Seasonality is clicking in, but technically the stock is in a downward trend and has yet to show signs of even trying to form a bottom. Has been underperforming the market and is trading below its 20 day moving average. Short-term momentum indicators are negative. Not a good one to buy. Wait until there are signs of it bottoming.