SELL
Manufacturer of products for natural gas. There are a lot of big plans as Trans Canada (TRP-T) and Enbridge (ENB-T) want to grow their pipeline bases. Last couple of years has been really terrible for natural gas drilling. Wait for an improvement in natural gas prices.
DON'T BUY
Prices have been beaten down and they are way behind the eight ball. Doesn't think they are in trouble yet but is afraid that Apple (AAPL-Q) is going to catch them. (See Top Picks.)
BUY
Seems to have done much better than a lot of the other big insurance names and their stock prices held up nicely. Interest rates and bond yields keep going lower, which is hurting insurance companies mark to market earnings. He believes interest rates will be going higher.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 15/09. Up 63%.) Still loves this one but sold his holdings because valuation got too high. Put half into Allied Nevada (ANV-T) at $19 and the rest into an IPO Tahoe Resources (THO-T) at $6.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 15/09. Down 13%.) Sold his holdings a while ago. It was a defensive stock in uncertain times with decent growth. Decision by the Ontario government has basically taken out 2-3 years of growth.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 15/09. Down 14%.) Uranium. Probably the only metal that hasn't recovered from its bottom. 2nd largest producer. Expecting consolidation in the sector and this would be the most likely target.
TOP PICK
A lot of growth from water flood from Bakken and Shaunevon sites. Because it was a trust, it still has a pretty high dividend. Stock is temporarily depressed because they did a couple of issues to pay for acquisitions. Now have 10 years of drilling.
TOP PICK
Largest and oldest REIT. Shopping centres. So big in Canada that they’re starting to dip their toe into Texas and Pennsylvania. These are accretive acquisitions. About 7% yield. Great place to hide in this environment.
TOP PICK
Just reported very solid numbers. Likes the US where they are quite profitable. Could see $80. About 3% yield and is almost certain they will raise the dividend in 2011.
DON'T BUY
Had problems in the last couple of years and traded at a discount because they over promised and under delivered. Better places to be such as Allied Nevada (ANV-T), which has better growth.
COMMENT
After Petrocan acquisition they’re selling gas and non-core assets and retreating to being primarily oil sands. Very good at it and one of the lowest cost producers. If oil prices get back to oscillating between $70 and $85, this will probably go back to the $39-$40 level. (See Top Picks.)
COMMENT
Has rebounded off the bottom with a potash speculation of being a good takeover. In negotiations with the Chinese company Complant (?) to finance their plans for their Congo mine. Stock is $.70 if a deal is signed and $.25 if they don't. Speculative.
BUY
There will be some tax loss selling, which will put pressure on the stock. Disclosed last quarter that not only does it have equity risk because of lack of hedging, but also have US treasury interest rate risk if rates go down. A Buy at these prices.
COMMENT
Reasonable dividend. Announced what the dividend cut will be after they convert and there is probably not a lot of danger. Lack of growth but because they are a wire line business, there could actually be a slow decline. Doesn't expect BCE (BCE-T) are in any particular hurry to acquire them. 11.4% yield.
DON'T BUY
Isn't that much growth but pays a decent dividend. Would rather own Suncor (SU-T) where you don't get quite the dividend but you know you have a growing production base. (See Top Picks.)