DON'T BUY
A couple of problems. 1) In the gas business and 2) have a very high debt load. New management is focusing on cutting costs. Speculative. Consider selling for tax losses.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has done very well because of its leverage to oil prices. If there is a correction in oil prices, he could see this dropping to below $30.
COMMENT
Good management. Trying to sell their Libyan assets.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Fabulous company. Horizon is now on and is ramping up. Using the cash flow to pay down debt. Would be a fabulous by $55-$60.
COMMENT
Heavy oil play in Albania. Caller has warrants due to expire and is thinking of selling those, waiting for a downturn in shoulder season and then picking up longer-term warrants 2 years out. Answer: A reasonable strategy as the stock price is fairly valued at this level. Currently producing about 6400 BOEs a day and ramping up to 8200 by year-end. Wouldn't rush out and buy the stock today.
DON'T BUY
NYMEX Oil Bull+ ETF. Had owned this but sold it in frustration because it re-balanced daily. If you went from $50 oil to $75 oil, that would be terrific if you got direct exposure, but what happens is that your price goes up and down on the way.
HOLD
Dividend isn't great but they did raise it recently. This is a direct leverage to oil prices and says he is positive on oil, you should continue to hold. You could also consider Baytex Energy (BTE.UN-T) or Arc Energy (AET.UN-T), which is a little more gas weighted but a well managed trust.
HOLD
This company is pretty much in shallow gas and gas prices have just gone from bad to worse. If things were to deteriorate further, a distribution cut could happen.
COMMENT
Petrobank (PBG-T) has a buyout on it at $14.75 and it closed today at $15.34. It may be because people think a better offer may come but he doesn't think it is too likely. He recommends tendering to the offer, as it is very reasonable. New combined entity will be a good one to own.
BUY
Colombia seems to be very solid from an oil/gas perspective. This company just keeps banging out the production and has been fairly steady and consistent. Thinks there is substantial growth coming in production.
WAIT
Becoming a more interesting story. Bidding for Tristar (TOG-T) and hopefully will spin that and its Canadian unit into the separate company called Petrobakken Energy. Wait for all of this to happen before taking a position.
BUY
An integrated oil company not based in North America. This one looks interesting and seems to have reasonable growth.
TOP PICK
Has been one of the best performing oil/gas stocks but he thinks it will go higher because it is increasingly focusing on heavy oil and oil sands. Had originally been slated to do 100,000 barrels a day but has been doing intermittently 120,000. One of the benchmark names that you want to own.
TOP PICK
Attractive because of its multiple basins and great torque to oil. If oil goes up 1% this stock goes up 1%. Good geographical diversity. Solid balance sheet. Have a lot of upside in the projects that are coming on.
TOP PICK
New CEO has come in and has executed a very strong vision. Concentrating on core areas of North America, North Sea and Southeast Asia. Also getting into unconventional gas and oil sands.