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TOP PICK
Own a large part of office buildings in major cities in US and Canada. Trades at a 20% discount to its NAV. Has been hurt by the financial crisis because about 50% of their tenants are in the financial industry. Trades at 11X price to FFO, which is cheap. Manhattan space has very low vacancy rates and Merrill Lynch has confirmed they will be staying.
property mngmnt
investment
TOP PICK
Largest landlord in Canada and anchored by large stable tenants. Cheap, relative to the last couple of years. Also have green development, which adds to their bottom line. Also, because they own so much space, anyone coming up from the US would be dealing with them. Lease rollovers in the next couple of years with increased rents.
property mngmnt
investment
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 5/07. Up 8.65%.) Government of Canada 2029 5.75% bond. Feels that real rates are coming down. Bigger believer in deflation than inflation. Was rewarded when inflation numbers were lower than both the street estimates and Bank of Canada estimates. Feels inflation rate could drop through 1% in Canada.
COMMENT
Midst of a takeover with Montreal exchange (MXX-T). Because of the political situation, difficult to tell if this will actually work. CEO just left. Some market pressure because they have cut fees in order to stay competitive. Very consistent business. Volatility helps their underlying business with the extra trading revenue. Over 3% yield.
other services
DON'T BUY
Falls under the small cap REITs space, which is having a really tough time. Contemporaries in the US have had valuations dropped from 16X AFFO down to 13X. During this volatility, he would stay away from the small caps because of funding issues. Because of distribution stability he would rather up his portfolio to large-cap REITs.
income trust
BUY
This one has been hit by the sector. They own outlet grocery store anchored malls. Excellent managers. He owns their bonds. Growing their bottom line with good acquisitions. They've tapped the unsecured debenture market, which allows them to get access to the funding market in the public space. We Buy on anything below this level, otherwise a Hold.
property mngmnt
investment
COMMENT
Debt holders are saying the deal is on as they are hoping the post merger balance sheet will be very leveraged and the credit quality will drop significantly. Equity guys are saying the deal is off because of someone pulling out of the agreement. There is a judicial decision coming for the bondholders. Thinks the break-up value is around $28 so the risk/reward is in favor of the deal going through.
telephone utilities
DON'T BUY
Problematic. Was a growth story and traded at about 6X EBITDA and about 15X earnings. Now it's a value story and the question is, is it worth it now. Would be hesitant on this as part of their biggest growth was the wireless section and they are having a lot of trouble with it. Looking for it to go lower. Would prefer it at 9X PE.
telephone utilities
COMMENT
In the small cap asset management space. Small caps are being hit hard because of the liquidity issue. Also got hurt when one of their managers left to go to another firm although his fund has continued doing well if not better. No dent on the balance sheet. Have improved their costs. Thinks it will do well longer term and looking for it to recover in the next year or so.
investment companies
funds
