New 52-Week Highs and Lows (Nov 21-27)

They are a recruitment company. It’s not very exciting. It was 45 cents a few years ago, but has been pretty flat since 2013. They pay a nice dividend, the stock hardly trades (about 12000 share volume). It’s profitable and well-managed. He would be interested in the stock at 75 cents but it is so…

They dominate in legal textbooks globally. Their business model is scalable. It's full valued now. She owns only a little of this.

It was all " gung ho" about 2 years ago. It is difficult to find out what is going on. Management have been rather shy for a long time. Overall revenues have not risen dramatically for a long time. There are a lot of competitors. He needs to look more closely into the company.

A tricky one. Have a very small mine in Ireland that they are trying to put into production as well as a small jewellery division. There is no clear indication of what they are trying to be. Gold deposit is very small.

Stock vs. Stock. FIE-T vs. CMR-T. CMR-T is a money market fund. FIE-T is a multi holding income strategy holding all kinds of assets, so there will be more volatility. When markets are up go into CMR-T and FIE-T when they are down.

It’s slowly moved up from $28. The pullback is a natural phenomenon after the pop. Lots of volume. He would buy it here.

It is a large, diversified REIT. It is recovering from the pandemic. It is trading $3-4 below its pre-COVID high. It is a good one to hold on to.

A good dividend play. The yield is at 4.6%. People tend to focus on the tech side of green stocks, but this has utilities that have consistent income. They are a potential takeover target for Brookfield so the price has recently shot up. Could get decent returns.

It has a superb balance sheet. They don’t have a lot of garbage on their balance sheet. They succeeded in expanding their high quality gold reserves. What's not to like. They are at book value. (Analysts’ price target is $14.82)

Highly leveraged to the copper price, and is a major producer. Has a great outlook. They are reducing costs to improve efficiency. Debt is an issue, but the high copper price solves this and enhances margins. It's up 500% in the past year. Too much beta for him though, but this is fine if you…

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. It is a smaller and cheaper company than the big gold names. It has more leverage to deal with, discovery and multiple expansion is possible. There is more risk. Generally, small and mid cap gold outperform in a gold rally. You need to be okay…

Getting to the right theme is the most important thing. Has a good basket of assets. Recently pulled back. It's a small cap, so you have to be careful. But it should continue to participate as long as base materials continue to improve.

Likes it. $3.25 target, a buy. Great project. Really likes the US. It's going to be one of the best mining jurisdictions. The light hasn't come on with US investors yet, but when it does, US money is going to chase these, and anything in the US will do well.

Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

Gold companies remain cheap vs. the price of gold itself. There's a lot of room for upside. He's been taking profits to gold names to add new gold stocks to his portfolio (he specializes in precious metals). This is a hold with an $18 target. ELD has had a nice run.

Likes management. Note that there is nothing immediately happening. It’s not something to chase, but just accumulate over the summer. Turkey is not bad at all, it is a democratic system. Their mining code is working. He thinks they have permitted 10 mines in 10 years. This company is technically very, very competent. Sitting on…

Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

It's a sum-of-the-parts story with three moving parts. The knock on it was they always needed to finance, but they financed. He likes their assets, including a joint venture with Barrick, which is worth PG's market cap alone. Their Ontario and Mexico assets are extraneous and will likely be sold. (Analysts’ price target is $3.93)

Owned it in the past and sold it around current levels just above $30. A cyclical company. Well managed. Doing a lot to stabilize the business. Sold because they were too exposed to energy. A good dividend yield. Likes it and wants to own it more now that they are diversifying their business. However, wait…

Ranks in the middle of the pack for him. Technically it hasn’t been super strong. Part of that is probably due to some concern over whether or not it will sell off because of the Canada Post strike. He wouldn’t be surprised if they had weaker earnings when they report. Overall the business continues to…

(A Top Pick Oct 23/19, Up 10%) A bit of a lagger but he continues to like and hold it. They had some Covid issues but everything is coming together, especially with their leverage. They stayed alive during the worse by mining low grade. They have started mining high quality gold.

Agnico-Eagle (AEM-T) came in a while ago and made a 9.9% stake in this company. The stock went up, but it really hasn’t done much since then. Then Barrick (ABX-T) came in and said they really liked the deposit and wanted to do a joint venture. This is a much better approach that is better…

CCL.B-T A great label maker. A fantastic story over the years. He would never recommend selling it. You also have IPT-T and have been selling weak with all the hurricanes in the last weeks. They create a lot of value but there is better value with IPT-T. He holds this over CCL.B-T because IPT-T are…

The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is strong. The stock…

Thinks there is another mine in this company. This is a story that is going to unfold and he likes it.

It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Not overly expensive with a market cap approaching $1B. Momentum is good. Growth is looking good this year and the sector is recovering. Would let this run for now. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

He owns it. It is involved in Northern Quebec and there are rumours of some kind of merger with a mining operation in the same area.

He won't buy any service stocks today. It just isn't profitable; the market isn't rewarding drilling. Stop drilling and buy stocks, is his message to the oil industry. He'd rather buy Trican who are buying back stock.

Bought 7% of the company. A name where you get mature assets with strong leverage to a rising oil price. Strong dividends and share buy backs. At 4x multiple at $70 oil, it would trade at $5.60 share price, a 67% upside potential.

One of Canada's leading senior oil produces with low-long assets. Free cash flow growth will rise sharply in coming years. Expect more dividends or share buybacks. They're more flexible than peers. (Analysts’ price target is $54.41)

He had left the intermediate producers behind. It is between investor bases. There is not a basis beyond a pop in the commodity price. He sticks to those that did a better job at maintaining their dividend.

An oil and gas drilling company in North America. Oil and gas services companies have additional leverage on the oil markets which already have significant volatility. If we get into the positive sweet spot it can raise prices and make a lot of money, but we are not there yet. They have been through multiple…

(A Top Pick Jun 19/20, Up 95%) Got penalized from their sale of an asset. However, now it is a debt free company and pursuing another area. Does not fit the free cashflow narrative, but it is inexpensive on cashflow. 3.3x multiple at $70 oil.

Interesting time in mid stream and infrastructure plays in Canada. The space in general is positive. If Inter Pipelines is acquired, Keyera will be one of the few remaining smaller players. It could be a consolidation target. Their core business is doing well. Natural gas prices are rising. A company to watch in the next…

Has always admired management execution. Successfully transformed from oil to general trucking. He'd be interested if it traded 10-15% lower. You could buy, tuck it away, and hold for a long time.

Has been picking away at it around $2.05. Volume has dried out. A name that will bring online 12 wells with good expectations. The name could trade at 3x next year's cashflow. With incremental production, it is trading at 1.9 2 year out cashflow. Super inexpensive. Would buy this over Arc Resources.

Companies with challenged balance sheets (high debt in this case) face difficulty in banks continuing to finance growth. He would not own this one.

They have two plays. It is pressured because of debt load. Production came down in the third quarter and should now increase. They should knock debt down with the sale of two non-core assets next year. It needs a catalyst before the market will revisit this story.

(A Top Pick Jul 07/20, Up 27%) The only oil stock he owns. High quality asset base in Colombia. Manages the full cycle of production. Exploration budget has been dialled back up. Pristine balance sheet, no debt. Consistently buy back shares, thinks they're stealthily taking it private. Continues to buy it.

For full disclosure, she is on the Board of Directors of Blackpearl. International Petroleum has made an offer to acquire. It is expected to close in mid December. She would not be buying a stock that may only be around for a few weeks. Management is very strong and will be going to International Petroleum.

Pipeline coating. Quite global. Follows the path of crude oil prices. Earnings are cyclical. Not a regulated business the way pipelines are. Thesis that oil demand will decline. There are better secular themes to invest in.

One of the more conservatively run oil service companies. A smaller oil service business. He likes some of the stuff they do in their rig matting and gas compression businesses. They have an acquisition strategy, and in this environment they may see some opportunities that could be accretive to shareholders. Balance sheet is pretty clean.…

Doesn't see much upside here, though there will be pricing power finally for the pressure-pumpers now that foreign players have left Canada. He begs companies like this not to invest excess money to drill a lot, just keep drilling flat. And use excess cash to buy back shares. The space is less competitive than before.…

Was a past pick a while ago. Still owns and likes it. He remains positive about the energy sector. Tamarack are great operators. They have lower decline rates and steady production rates. They bought Clearwater which will take time to integrate, but will add strongly to their manufacturing levels.

They're 45% into natural gas and 55% liquids. They exposes you to an improving natural gas business. They've reduced their growth rate in recent years, which lowered their decline rate. So they generate more free cash glow. The market doesn't appreciate how quickly their business model has changed. Based on $60 oil, he sees 190%…

Like Cenovus and Arc, they had a busy 2020. WCP became the largest intermediate oil producer in western Canada. They're using carbon capture at their Weyburn unit and they may apply that clean tech to other facilities, maybe to generate revenue. It trades at a premium, because it's so well-run, low-cost, solid balance sheet with…

There are aspects that will detract institutional ownership. There are some promotional aspects. The name is cheap and are paying down debt. It is not a name he is looking at. The quantitative and qualitative aspects need to match and for him it does not meet his requirements.

This had been on his Short List of about 10 companies. There is absolutely nothing wrong with it. He thinks you could get an 8%-10% rate of return. It just didn’t seem to have that key catalyst driver that could make it exciting. (See Top Picks.)

As the world drifts to e-cars and renewable energy, oil continues to rebound in 2021, driven by the reopening. American cars are hitting the road this Memorial Day weekend and will cover a lot of miles this summer fueled by pent-up demand from people dying to get out of their homes. Others will fly. All…

Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…

(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Down 88%) He sold at $3.22, taking a big loss. They have a lot of worries. They are looking to sell the company. They might just liquidate the company, but clean up could be very expensive. He does not like stock consolidations and used that as a trigger to get…

There is a rumour that Paramount has acquired a 9% holding in Nuvista. Paramount is outspending their cash flow and announced, if required, they may look to sell off assets and this could Nuvista. Both companies share prices have been pushed sharply lower as a result.

(A Top Pick Dec 13/19, Up 10%) It hasn't stumbled during this pandemic. Incredibly consistent business, distributing propane across North America, such as Quebec. The stock had plunged from $12 to $6 during the pandemic, but they will get through this pandemic without lasting issues. (SPB was fine, but the market was irrational. SPB is…

Have some interesting prospects on some properties. Have some financial partnerships with South Koreans. Looks like it is forming at bottom here. Not his favourite, but it meets his initial tests so it is starting to gain some attraction.

Has been really hurt by the execution of this very difficult play they are in. Company is going through some high costs, to make sure this very extreme area in northern Alberta, is all pipelined in. There are good reasons why two very, very good, smart, rich people have got ownership of this company. He…

Safer than a non-royalty stock? They pay out everything they earn at a 13.5% dividend yield. It's sold off sharply, because it is perceived that fast food chains will close down during this outbreak.

Over time it will come back. They have a strong position in liquor retailing and have moved into Cannabis. They are clearly going to be a survivor. They are going to be able to consolidate.

In general terms still on a downtrend. Bearish big picture. Could get back into the 20 dollars.

(A Top Pick Jun 11/20, Up 13%) He sold. Still likes the company, but he had better ideas in the near-term. Windfall last year, as it was an essential retailer. This year, comparisons will lag and some aisles are off-limits as non-essential.

This has great assets globally. The biggest sourcing platform for organic foods. It is really hard to get an organic designation. It takes 3 years for a farm to convert. They spent a lot of time putting together assets and it hasn’t been managed well. The company did a strategic review, brought in an investor…

It is a really well run company. It is a dominant player in the toy industry. The business is very lumpy month to month, year to year. Kids are sending more time on-line and not playing with toys.

Difficulty is that we're still in the pandemic. A lot of content has moved to streaming, so it will be hard to get people back to the theatre, plus logistical problems of health safety. The movie Black Widow will be an interesting test case.

He owned it at $3.81 and sold it at $3.00 and is glad he did. Management is getting old and stodgy. As the stock has been thrashed following the share buyback program, he thinks the balance sheet still looks okay, but the cash position is not as good. Last quarter they lost a lot of…

We've reached the tipping point where we're sick of really dirty oil. But don't get greedy with this now. Can't recommend buying it at current levels after such a big run.

This ETF tracks Canadian oil prices. There is only $9 million of capital in this fund – be very, very careful.

The ETFs are better to go because of diversification. There is a little more upside but not a whole lot more. There will not be increases in interest rates any time soon. Rates shouldn't go much lower either. The rates should remain stable.

Why such a large correction? Preferred shares are a big part of this fund, and they took a hit because of higher interest rates.

HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you should go to…

He would rather have direct access to floating rates. In Canada there are very few original floating rate preferreds left. One of the highest quality is the Brookfield BAM Preferred B or Preferred K and generally they are in the market and trading 17, 18, so they are at a big discount to their par…

For recent years, he's been off and on preferred shares. Preferreds are volatile. When interest rates plunged 2-3 years ago, this asset class got reamed. HPR pays a big dividend, but also offers huge volatility. Also, it lacks the growth of stocks but carries the volatility. He had a terrible experience with this. Look at…

Average adviser clients would have 5-20% allocation in energy. It is cyclical and volatile. It could go down. Wouldn't recommend holding more than 20% weighting in the sector. Current energy weighting on the TSX is 12%.

An EM ETF? He's used this in the past and recommends it, if you're looking for a single EM ETF.

Challenge with buying US ETFs that participate in MLPs is that they're not favourable to a Canadian investor. Withholding tax of 15-30%. Be very, very careful on the MLPs. If you want gas exposure, think about XEG or ZEO. Most bang for the buck would be the HED, with small cap exposure. Small caps have…

Doesn't see a whole lot of upside from here. Has had a good run and has been selling into the run. The next big move from the BoC will be a rate hike than a cut. With 5 year rates still low, the reset market is not a big challenge.

(A Top Pick August 8/17, Up 8%) This holds what’s left over from the XIU 60. Wanted to get into some smaller stuff to get better diversification, and focus on this rather than the broader-based indices.

Working to diversify, including owning Ontario real estate. Undergoing a review to calculate capital differently which, if successful, would let them compete more aggressively on loan products. Regional banks are trades for him, in and out. Prefers this to LB.

It's exposed to western Canada, an unloved asset class, but the valuation is very attractive and the new CEO has a new plan to flexibly invest in private and public real estate. This combination is great. The dividend pays over 5%, so you're paid to wait. The CEO has a track record restructuring asset. Artis…

He would not be buying it here because it has been going through a strategic process for quite a while. Their office and retail assets will be challenged for quite some time.

Hotels are typically the first sector to go down in a downturn and the first to come out. Today there is zero visibility, however. He would move on from this one.

Tough to own. Retail, office, some industrial. Deep value, but doesn't see a catalyst. He's not a buyer of enclosed mall office or retail.

Underlying companies are performing well. Interesting investments, such as in WealthSimple. Attractive yield of around 4.5%. Own it for income.

Hut-8 is another Canadian Bitcoin miner headquarted in Toronto, though it trades on the TSX. Daily volumes average 2.5 million, but swing wildly. Over 12 months, Bitfarms outperforms HUT-T 753% vs 858%, but the stocks have run in parallel the past month. Neither stock pays a dividend (no surprise). HUT's EPS in -0.22 while BITF's…

They had a project where they had lent out some money to the big Urban Corp. real estate company, which defaulted on their loans. Fortunately, the loan was secured by some real estate. Terra Firma just announced getting full repayment of the principal plus interest for that property. Now it will be a function to…

The upshot: BITF, HUT and HIVE all outperform Bitcoin itself, but suffer more volatility than its base currency. The miners' fortunes are intrinsically tied to the fluctuations of Bitcoin. The main costs for these miners start with the capital costs (an army of supercomputers) and the real estate where they operate day and night. An…

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

They are doing distinctive infrastructure, where they are digging trenches to get that last mile to the home. They are doing this in the UK, and have a large contract with one company. He really likes the story, but is waiting to see some revenues and earnings drop to the bottom line over the next…

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Founded in 1858, WJX is one of Canada's oldest diversified industrial products and service providers. Recently reported EPS of $0.57 easily beat consensus calls for $0.35. It trades at 11x earnings compared to peers at 34x and has a PEG of under 0.9 (demonstrating good growth) and is a just…

Changing its name and listing on the NASDAQ. Not the big salvation that most people think. Not familiar with the company details.

There's always something that stops him from entering the seniors space in REITs: labour, regulator issues, though again demographics are a positive. That isn't a good enough, though. How will governments with huge debts supplement the entire seniors home space? However, EXE is cheap. This space is too volatile.

There is so much concern on quality of earnings and when the companies will be profitable. He wants to see the industry mature. He likes it long term. The health side of this could be revolutionary over the next couple of decades.

A new CFO about six months ago is resulting in a change in their business operations. He thinks this is a lottery ticket if you already own it. He would wait until year end -- if it does not do well, take the tax loss then. Right now the company is running radio silent.