New 52-Week Highs and Lows (Nov 21-27)

They are a recruitment company. It’s not very exciting. It was 45 cents a few years ago, but has been pretty flat since 2013. They pay a nice dividend, the stock hardly trades (about 12000 share volume). It’s profitable and well-managed. He would be interested in the stock at 75 cents but it is so…

The London Stock Exchange has been interested in acquiring them, which he thinks would be positive. He would consider holding for now and decide if holding shares in the Exchange makes sense in the long run.

It was all " gung ho" about 2 years ago. It is difficult to find out what is going on. Management have been rather shy for a long time. Overall revenues have not risen dramatically for a long time. There are a lot of competitors. He needs to look more closely into the company.

A tricky one. Have a very small mine in Ireland that they are trying to put into production as well as a small jewellery division. There is no clear indication of what they are trying to be. Gold deposit is very small.

Stock vs. Stock. FIE-T vs. CMR-T. CMR-T is a money market fund. FIE-T is a multi holding income strategy holding all kinds of assets, so there will be more volatility. When markets are up go into CMR-T and FIE-T when they are down.

It’s slowly moved up from $28. The pullback is a natural phenomenon after the pop. Lots of volume. He would buy it here.

It has been a very difficult stock to own. It just cut its distribution in half. Management hopes they are being over cautious. Mall tenants are only paying about 25% of the rents. They have quite a bit of exposure to oil and gas tenants. Your upside is much better than your downside. Their apartment…

A good dividend play. The yield is at 4.6%. People tend to focus on the tech side of green stocks, but this has utilities that have consistent income. They are a potential takeover target for Brookfield so the price has recently shot up. Could get decent returns.

He quant model suggests this offers the best growth opportunity for a gold producer. Free cash flow grew by 100% last year and should grow by over 40% in 2021. He sees 25% upside. Yield 0.78% (Analysts’ price target is $12.22)

Copper pricing seems to be Firming here. Commodities are starting to come off from a bottom here. It is 9 years into a bull market and into a recovery. If you are going to play it, this is probably a not bad place to be. Copper looks interesting here.

It is a high grade underground gold deposit in West Africa. The company has been generating free cash flow. It is a good management team and they are starting a new project also in West Africa. There is a security risk in these areas, however.

This is a zero, although not priced there yet. That is where it is going. It has been a lousy company for a long time. Madagascar will prove to be their undoing. They defaulted on their debt in February. Their debt is currently worth 54 cents on the dollar so the stock is worth zero.

Building a mine is not easy. Has really good projects. Price target of $3.50. If you own it, not a bad place to add more. Will move on higher gold prices, and will start to shine quite nicely this year.

Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

They exploded today with good news from Turkey. However, there is geopolitical risk in Turkey. They are moving forward with their project but he would avoid geopolitical risk. (Analysts’ price target is $10.50)

Likes management. Note that there is nothing immediately happening. It’s not something to chase, but just accumulate over the summer. Turkey is not bad at all, it is a democratic system. Their mining code is working. He thinks they have permitted 10 mines in 10 years. This company is technically very, very competent. Sitting on…

Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

It's a sum-of-the-parts story with three moving parts. The knock on it was they always needed to finance, but they financed. He likes their assets, including a joint venture with Barrick, which is worth PG's market cap alone. Their Ontario and Mexico assets are extraneous and will likely be sold. (Analysts’ price target is $3.93)

He doesn't like the base metals yet. The price of copper as a barometer hasn't shown any movement. He has to see what will happen with the global economy. Once copper rises above $3.00, he would start looking into it more.

Ranks in the middle of the pack for him. Technically it hasn’t been super strong. Part of that is probably due to some concern over whether or not it will sell off because of the Canada Post strike. He wouldn’t be surprised if they had weaker earnings when they report. Overall the business continues to…

(A Top Pick Apr 16/19, Up 87%) He still holds this. Likes the management team that has executed well. It should be trading higher than where it's at right now too. Management is the M&A team from Barrick.

Agnico-Eagle (AEM-T) came in a while ago and made a 9.9% stake in this company. The stock went up, but it really hasn’t done much since then. Then Barrick (ABX-T) came in and said they really liked the deposit and wanted to do a joint venture. This is a much better approach that is better…

CCL.B-T A great label maker. A fantastic story over the years. He would never recommend selling it. You also have IPT-T and have been selling weak with all the hurricanes in the last weeks. They create a lot of value but there is better value with IPT-T. He holds this over CCL.B-T because IPT-T are…

The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is strong. The stock…

Thinks there is another mine in this company. This is a story that is going to unfold and he likes it.

It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by…

He owns it. It is involved in Northern Quebec and there are rumours of some kind of merger with a mining operation in the same area.

He won't buy any service stocks today. It just isn't profitable; the market isn't rewarding drilling. Stop drilling and buy stocks, is his message to the oil industry. He'd rather buy Trican who are buying back stock.

Light production? It struggles for relevance in the market as a medium to medium-light oil producer. They cut the dividend to zero to de-lever. They purchased old oil fields, but with the higher operating costs and higher risk for environmental liability he would not own this.

We are past the 'best-before' date and core investments in energy are going to be less and less for institutions and individual investors. You want to wait and see what a second COVID wave will look like as we get into the flu season. The futures curve points back to $50 in 2027. There will…

It is certainly a high risk/reward play. One thing it has going for it is a very favourable hedge going for it. The question is only going into next year, what will prices look like. They have net debt over $2 Billion. The dividend has been reduced to a level where it is hopefully sustainable.…

They paid down the debt recently and are in very good shape. They are doing less CAP-X this year. His target is $1.20 so there is lots of upside. It will be a Q4 opportunity.

The stock is down 70% this year on fear of their bank line, which is now fully drawn. They have applied for government loans -- one of the first in the patch to do so. At $40 oil they generate free cash flow. When the market is ready for a corporate sale, you could see…

Payout ratio sustainable? A name he has owned for many years. Very talented management team. They have diverted capex, improved liquidity and refinanced debt, so he does not think the dividend is at risk. He also does not think it will grow much over the next couple of years. A long term investor would see…

Convertible bonds with a 5.75% coupon They own a great base of real estate. The debt issue is a small piece. The bond is well-covered. MTL.DV-T. You get a 6-year option on the stock within the bond, with a $14 convert price. If oil recovers, these bonds will convert into equity. Until then, collect then.…

It took a big haircut in earnings in the last 90 days, down 57% this year and a projected 20% in 2021. Cash flow will shrink this year but expected to grown next year, but still lags its peers. NVA is a reasonable speculation, but he sees a better play in natural gas names in…

Companies with challenged balance sheets (high debt in this case) face difficulty in banks continuing to finance growth. He would not own this one.

They have two plays. It is pressured because of debt load. Production came down in the third quarter and should now increase. They should knock debt down with the sale of two non-core assets next year. It needs a catalyst before the market will revisit this story.

It is regarded as lower risk, despite a slightly higher geopolitical risk. They are sitting on $300 million in cash. They are looking for an acquisition outside of their core, so he is a little uneasy on where they are going. There are better names to own first.

For full disclosure, she is on the Board of Directors of Blackpearl. International Petroleum has made an offer to acquire. It is expected to close in mid December. She would not be buying a stock that may only be around for a few weeks. Management is very strong and will be going to International Petroleum.

It's had a fall from grace. Energy services have been hit hard by plunging oil prices. They depend on infrastructure projects. They're still a leader in pipe coating, though. Maybe this is a trade, but he avoids energy service companies entirely.

One of the more conservatively run oil service companies. A smaller oil service business. He likes some of the stuff they do in their rig matting and gas compression businesses. They have an acquisition strategy, and in this environment they may see some opportunities that could be accretive to shareholders. Balance sheet is pretty clean.…

He prefers services companies to producers. Existing wells decline quickly. Services companies have gear that you don’t have to worry about it declining. Insiders have been buying more recently. This one could be the last one standing.

(A Top Pick Jun 20/19, Down 60%) He expects their volumes to be flat in the next two quarters, then picking up. Buy on weakness under 70 cents. It's nearly triped from the March bottom.

70% revenue from condensate? Oil prices has recently rallied due to OPEC agreement extensions and a recovery in demand. Associated natural gas production has begin to rise again and natural gas prices have fallen. He thinks a large oil sands producer using condensate may take advantage of this company and consider it as an acquisition…

It is probably one of the better managed exploration and production companies in Canada. It is a little bit higher risk/reward than some of the others. This is one of the companies he would look at in this group. It will recover or could be acquired or merged with.

A long term holding for him. Now is not the time sell. The oil patch has struggled as a whole. They have the flexibility to stop drilling when economics are poor. The stock is cheap here and they have had good drill results recently. At this small market cap (under $100 million) it is not…

This had been on his Short List of about 10 companies. There is absolutely nothing wrong with it. He thinks you could get an 8%-10% rate of return. It just didn’t seem to have that key catalyst driver that could make it exciting. (See Top Picks.)

It has been one of his top picks in the past. It is an extremely well managed company. It would not bother him too much to see the dividend cut in this environment.

Weakness in share price recently is related to their moving HQ into the US. Their strategy for the move is to trigger share buying in the US as they become part of a larger market index, he thinks. There is no guarantee this will happen in the US, so this is a pretty risky strategy.…

(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Down 88%) He sold at $3.22, taking a big loss. They have a lot of worries. They are looking to sell the company. They might just liquidate the company, but clean up could be very expensive. He does not like stock consolidations and used that as a trigger to get…

There is a rumour that Paramount has acquired a 9% holding in Nuvista. Paramount is outspending their cash flow and announced, if required, they may look to sell off assets and this could Nuvista. Both companies share prices have been pushed sharply lower as a result.

The company has good businesses. Their problem was the balance sheet. They will be 3 times debt-to-EBITDA. They have more funds for M&A, which could help them make some interesting acquisitions. He likes the distribution and the management team. They just partnered with Brookfield, which gives a strong vote of confidence. Its valuation is reasonable.…

Have some interesting prospects on some properties. Have some financial partnerships with South Koreans. Looks like it is forming at bottom here. Not his favourite, but it meets his initial tests so it is starting to gain some attraction.

Has been really hurt by the execution of this very difficult play they are in. Company is going through some high costs, to make sure this very extreme area in northern Alberta, is all pipelined in. There are good reasons why two very, very good, smart, rich people have got ownership of this company. He…

Safer than a non-royalty stock? They pay out everything they earn at a 13.5% dividend yield. It's sold off sharply, because it is perceived that fast food chains will close down during this outbreak.

The dividend was very high, almost too high. The dividend was illuminated and the stock price took a hit. They are active in the alcohol space and marijuana. Have been raising money, and could be a potential acquisition for Aurora.

In general terms still on a downtrend. Bearish big picture. Could get back into the 20 dollars.

The stock has been rallying into earnings. They have a unique position in Canada as a value retailer and they have growth levers in Canada along with Latin America. They have an opportunity as other retailers may drop out. It trades at 27 times earnings -- a little rich. A long term winner. He owns…

This has great assets globally. The biggest sourcing platform for organic foods. It is really hard to get an organic designation. It takes 3 years for a farm to convert. They spent a lot of time putting together assets and it hasn’t been managed well. The company did a strategic review, brought in an investor…

(A Top Pick May 06/19, Down 59%) They stumbled with a new distribution system in North America and their supply lines from China were totally disrupted. The balance sheet remains strong, so they will survive, but how long will it take for them to recover? When will stores reopen? He's holding on.

They are suing Cineworld. He does his road shows in CGX's theatres. It will be some time before people will feel safe crowding into a theatre.

He owned it at $3.81 and sold it at $3.00 and is glad he did. Management is getting old and stodgy. As the stock has been thrashed following the share buyback program, he thinks the balance sheet still looks okay, but the cash position is not as good. Last quarter they lost a lot of…

They were rallying last week after boosting their forecast. We have resistance just under $5. We are almost at the 200 week moving average. Wait until it punches through $5. It has been going up against the S&P since March.

This ETF tracks Canadian oil prices. There is only $9 million of capital in this fund – be very, very careful.

He generally does not like preferred shares. It has the risk of a stock and return of a bond. You also have to be concerned about rate resets versus perpetual dividends. He would prefer to sell call options against the banks. He thinks you should focus on the recovery being in the US as Canada…

Why such a large correction? Preferred shares are a big part of this fund, and they took a hit because of higher interest rates.

HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you should go to…

He would rather have direct access to floating rates. In Canada there are very few original floating rate preferreds left. One of the highest quality is the Brookfield BAM Preferred B or Preferred K and generally they are in the market and trading 17, 18, so they are at a big discount to their par…

Pretty darn good, actively managed ETF. This is the way to go rather than picking your own preferreds. But you can see it's struggled. If we're in a Fed loosening cycle, with rates dropping, you'd want to own perpetuals, not rate resets. As rates fall, your coupon will fall as well. But if you think…

Canadian Energy Sector and especially XEG-T. XEG-T is a great ETF to play the energy market overall. It is a good core position for the Canadian sector. Seasonally it is strong until May 9. It is based on supply/demand imbalances. It is not working right now but does not mean it will not work soon.…

An EM ETF? He's used this in the past and recommends it, if you're looking for a single EM ETF.

He likes ZEO's equal weighted in energy. But also look at HOG-T which is midstream oil with a very different set of companies. Buy both, in fact. HOG also pays a 4.5% yield, slightly lower than ZEO's.

It is a rate reset ETF of preferred shares. As interest rates have fallen to probably the lowest level, the yields are pretty good. He would prefer to sell calls against the banks, collecting the dividend along the way. He is not a fan of preferreds.

(A Top Pick August 8/17, Up 8%) This holds what’s left over from the XIU 60. Wanted to get into some smaller stuff to get better diversification, and focus on this rather than the broader-based indices.

Focused on the western part of the country and which is still going through a difficult economic period of time. It has had a decent couple of years as credit losses have been kept to a decent low. Their traditional business of lending with a flat yield curve is very difficult. He prefers TD-T and…

Their assets were all in Alberta. They are trying to switch their portfolio and are trying to reduce debt. They have increased their occupancy rates. They are trading at 14 times Price to AFFO. They want to become more of an Industrial portfolio. It is a work in progress. In his neutral bucket. You could…

It is a diversified REIT focused mainly in the Quebec markets. 35% of the portfolio is in retail/malls. Rent collection has been weak. He thinks they will be weak coming out of the pandemic. E-commerce has really taken off.

It is a difficult stock to own in this environment. The pandemic has shut them. He believes the distribution has been suspended. They have impaired cash flow and higher level.

Apartments in Ontario and the US sunbelt. MRT is pretty illiquid, but has performed very well. She'd rather play Ontario and the sunbelt separately (i.e. Minto REIT for Ontario). They have a decent balance sheet so they can continue to pay debt and grow by acquiring. No headwinds here. Expect higher dividends.

It will do fine with rising interest rates. It is a holding company. He is not that bullish on the mutual fund industry.

(A Top Pick May 14/18, Down 21%) It had a tough go since he was on. He continues to believe it is one of the best plays to get exposure to bit coin. It is a well run company.

They had a project where they had lent out some money to the big Urban Corp. real estate company, which defaulted on their loans. Fortunately, the loan was secured by some real estate. Terra Firma just announced getting full repayment of the principal plus interest for that property. Now it will be a function to…

Blockchain ETFs? He loves block chain and has about 7% of his portfolio. He likes HIVE as they are a miner of block chain coins. Global integration is just getting going. The technology will benefit from the way global markets will go forward. Imagine if gold could have a tracking system for physical it would…

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

They are doing distinctive infrastructure, where they are digging trenches to get that last mile to the home. They are doing this in the UK, and have a large contract with one company. He really likes the story, but is waiting to see some revenues and earnings drop to the bottom line over the next…

It'll be flat this year. It's very illiquid, so likely way cheaper than it ought to be. Good balance sheet. Cheap at 8x earnings. The payout ratio is safe. You can buy and win with this.

They did well, but then missed some quarters. (So has NFI-T.) Margins have dropped in the bus space. He exited 18 months ago. Cities may be holding back on bus orders as they decide on whether to buy e-buses or not. There may be pent-up demand.

How COVID will effect this industry, retirement homes? He owns Sienna instead. EXE is much more involved in government-funded LTCs. Along with Chartwell, these two companies are under government scrutiny, so they likely do a much better job than private LTCs. Good question how COVID will affect these homes: there may be increased costs to…

There is so much concern on quality of earnings and when the companies will be profitable. He wants to see the industry mature. He likes it long term. The health side of this could be revolutionary over the next couple of decades.

A new CFO about six months ago is resulting in a change in their business operations. He thinks this is a lottery ticket if you already own it. He would wait until year end -- if it does not do well, take the tax loss then. Right now the company is running radio silent.