This week’s new 52-week highs…
Thomson Reuters is still going up this week but very few Canadian stocks are reaching their 52 week high. Most are in the lows territory. Still the stocks below touched new highs.
👨👦 Human Resources
They have an outstanding CEO. The deal with Blackstone at 11.5 EBIDTA was expensive. Long term it will be a volatile stock (especially for the next few months) with the company going through transition. At these prices it is getting more interesting. Yield 3.4%.
Aurora Spine (ASG-X) TSXV
Spinal repair, less invasive. He has met them, and the company is run by a man that was formerly a nurse. 55 operations to date and now it has approval from the FDA.
A tricky one. Have a very small mine in Ireland that they are trying to put into production as well as a small jewellery division. There is no clear indication of what they are trying to be. Gold deposit is very small.
For short-term investors such as money market types. Simple way to get broad, low cost diversified money market exposure.
Stock has performed well and it is very well managed. Would be comfortable adding to your position right now. Very nice dividend. They are set up for a good year coming up.
No, retail is not going out of fashion. HR will work out okay and will grind out a slowly growing dividend. The fear out there is that Amazon will destroy all retail--but that's unfounded. Also, HR diversifies into building condos too. A safe dividend, but with modest growth prospects.
Pattern Energy Group (PEGI-T) TSE
An independent power producer. They have about 3000 MW of basically US based, but they do have some projects, primarily wind, in Ontario and Manitoba. Trading very inexpensively. They have the ability through their parent Pattern Energy Group (PEGI-Q) to vend in new development projects, so they don’t sustain development risks. They are 89%-90% contracted…
This week’s new 52-week lows…
A wide range of Canadian stocks continued their drop into their 52-week low. Some stock expert’s favorites are among the list this week : Russel Metals, Crescent Point Energy Corp and Petrus Resources Ltd in the Basic Materials category. Dollarama Inc., Spin Master Corp., Cineplex Inc. and Power Corp. are dipping further with Cominar Real Estate Inv Tr (CUF.UN-T) all reaching 52-week lows.
Here’s the full list :
A lot of investors owned a company they acquired and so sold. You are getting the acquisition for free. (Analysts’ target: $11.21).
A fantastic story. Have about 5 billion pounds of copper and gold. Cash costs in this environment should be about negative. Sees upside in this one.
Believes the share price will either increase in 2018 or one of the West African consolidators will take them over. Either of those will be a nice outcome for owners of this.
This has been on his watch list for years but he is not accumulating it. Years ago, he went to the AGM, he didn’t have confidence in the management. They have taken care of the debt load that he was concerned about but that is costing them revenues. The company is primed to commodities, so…
Over the last year gold companies have had return on capital coming down, but that is obviously turning around. There is no reason to expect return on capital to do anything but improve.
Play on the US housing recovery as well as timber, as they ship to US and Asia. Management bought 3 sawmills in 2006 which have been losing money. Have recapitalized a couple of the mills and are looking for better utilization. With better timber prices, she is expecting it to turn around and will probably…
Has some very good assets, but unfortunately in some difficult environments, Greece being front and centre. Probably trades at a 30%-40% discount to its peers. A very low cost producer and great margins. Material growth down the road over the next 5 years. Unfortunately, they are in a bit of a battle with the more…
Likes management. Note that there is nothing immediately happening. It’s not something to chase, but just accumulate over the summer. Turkey is not bad at all, it is a democratic system. Their mining code is working. He thinks they have permitted 10 mines in 10 years. This company is technically very, very competent. Sitting on…
(A Top Pick Nov 2/10. Down 0.42%.) Gold deposit in Armenia with about 1.4 million ounces at just under a gram. They should resource out this month. This will be a very low cost, high margin deposit in the 2 million ounce range.
(A Top Pick Jan 16/14. Up 27.92%.) Has just become a producer in Nevada. Nice cash flow generator. Short mine life of about 1.5 years, and might generate close to $100 million during that time. Also, thinks they will have about $100 million in cash by the end of the year. They bought Mercedes from…
Fundamentally it trades between 1 and 2 times book value. When it gets bellow book value is time to get in. Book value is between 16 and 17 and the stock is trading at 21. Probably has 5 bucks on the downside before is a buy. But balance sheet is fine. And the earnings continue…
Manufactures highly specialized envelopes. 55% market share in Canada. Just made an acquisition. Very focused on reducing costs.
Likes it. Idaho. Sunshine mine is back in production and silver is going up and these guys are starting to make some serious money.
Only drawback with this is perception, which is they don't have a 43101 resource and not well defined. In some circles, that is true but if you can actually get the ore and spend shareholders money to produce a profit, that's what you should do.
It would appear that they have got themselves into a whole mess of trouble. There are a lot of questions as to what is going on here. He had concerns that the high-grade mineralization was not being properly constrained and therefore being blown out across the whole thing. Currently it is under Cease Trading order.
GMV Minerals (GMV-X) TSXV
Thinks there is another mine in this company. This is a story that is going to unfold and he likes it.
It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.
This has done an incredible job of production and getting their costs down. We have a real use of natural gas for electricity air conditioning generation across North America, so gas prices are up. This is not the day that you want to buy gas stocks.
If you are a retiree and looking for income, this is a company that you definitely should look at. She has a lot of respect for the management team. Have done very well by investors historically. They are doing a rights offering to existing shareholders to bring some equity into the business, because they essentially…
There are 3 pressure pumpers in Canada and are involved in the hydraulic fracturing of reservoirs as part of the completion process after the well has been drilled. This company has struggled with the debt and has been selling their US business. At this point in the cycle, he wouldn’t be too constructive on this…
They right-sized the dividend, maybe a little too early as the heavy differentials have tightened recently. It is trading at a slight discount to a Torc (TOG-T). He would sell it to take a tax loss and take on TOG-T to get a good yield and higher quality management team.
If oil prices live in this range and the differentials get fixed overtime, this company generates so much cash flow it holds no debt in 4 years time very conservatively, he thinks. Yield 4.45% (Analysts’ price target is $45.32)
It still has an ancient stigma, but that's old history. It trades at a 20% free cash flow yield, and trading at 70% of its liquidation value. Land interests total $1.1 billion. or 50% of its market cap. They're marketing some infrastructure assets. If they take one-third of that to pay down debt they can…
An oilfield services company. Longer-term, he likes this. They are the Western Canadian leader in the coil tubing service business. Long-term, there is a good opportunity in this space. In the short term, he would be a little bit cautious on the entire services space. Profitability is pretty muted.
Just had a 20% correction, so it's now a good time to look at it. It's down, because it's taking time to get approval for some well pads in northeast BC. He expects they will get approval. But some fast-money investors got out which blasted out this stock. It's well-run with visionary managers. Fast growth.…
More in the natural gas processing business. Good company. Still struggling with the price. He wouldn't rush it to buy it. (Analysts’ price target is $39.09)
Has been a bit of an enigma for the past couple of years. Great quality assets and great management but market never really liked it going back several months but now has come into its own. Thinks it has probably run its course in terms of value on a relative basis. Great assets. He thinks…
He is underwater with this. He likes to think it is going to turn, and he’s willing to hold on. They paid down an awful lot of debt. It seems like a good speculative play, but he isn’t willing to put more money into it.
They are 9,200 boed and 71% natural gas. They are working at reducing debt and building a position in the Cardium area. He has a $2.40 per share target in the next 12 months and he holds it personally. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $1.75)
(A Top Pick May 16/18, Down 8%) Had a good report today, though it's been a rollercoaster the past year. Oil prices fell off their peak last summer. Also PXT put itself up for auction at the same time. Not good and it didn't work. Earnings reported today up 18% and production 26%. High cash…
Western Canadian oil is not so much driven by Canadian investors, it is the global or even the US investor that incrementally pushes these things and where the money comes to do financing. We have so much oil and the US is so successful about Fracing that oil will probably go to $80-$85. If he…
Looks like it is breaking out of a pretty good base. It has built a very nice base on pretty good volume, and it looks like it is ready to try some new levels.
(3 Top picks are in the energy services sector, a lagging indicator of oil/gas.) Supply a lot of equipment and manufacturing to the service side. Cheap. Has a lot of potential torque. Virtually debt free.
(A Top Pick Feb 09/18, Down 57%) He sold them out at $3.50 back in April or May last year. Oil was at $60 and cash flow was growing. He liked this pressure pumper then. But now natural gas prices have gone to zero and condensate discounts have expanded. The whole service sector was decimated.
Their market cap is below a level to entice large investors. Money is coming into the sector from the US, but this is not a highly ranked one. It is trading at only 3 times cash flow based on $70 oil – normally it trades at 5-6 times.
They missed yet again on their guidance and senior management has been departing the company. They have achieved a lot, but have consistently over-promised and under-delivered.
Historically, paying 9-10% yields is nuts, but in this environment that is sustainable, including for WCP. They can still generate a free cash flow yield of 5% and so, in fact, raise their dividend. He really likes and owns a lot of WCP. U.S. funds will eventually flow back into Canadian mid-cap oil stocks when…
(Top Pick Dec 20/16, Up 101%) Their net backs are about the largest in the industry. They have beaten guidance and all the analysts have moved their numbers up. They are the fastest growing small cap company. If we get a lift in oil prices it will go up even higher.
(Market Call Minute.) Just acquired one of her junior companies and she intends to take the shares and hold.
The debt is 21%, but down from last December. He would recommend buying it on weakness. They have the gas for LNG approved projects in Canada. We could see takeovers in the next two to three years.
(A Top Pick June 8, 2017. Down 13%). Activist investors have gained seats on the board and are having a significant influence on management decisions. He thinks it is likely that the company will sell itself by the Fall, at a significant premium, therefore it looks like a promising short-term play. If that doesn’t happen,…
They did a good deal with VII-T. They build long term assets before the stock got beat up. It has recovered nicely. If the price of oil comes down then it is possible after the winter we could see lower prices of $4-5. Hold off and wait until about late Q2 of this year.
They just had a solid quarter in all segments, and upped their guidance a percent higher than the midpoint for 2016. He is modelling cash flow growth at 11% from 2016 to 2018, compounded annually. 61% payout ratio of cash flow. The generous dividend of 6% looks safe. Their balance sheet might be a little…
His Top Picks today are speculative and high risk and fairly illiquid, so don't use "Market Orders". Early stage. Have a lot of exploration projects.
Main focus is a play in Northern Alberta, Esteem River (?). Have about 40 sections of land, which contain a lot of oil so wells they drill are very economic. Some of the wells have paid back in less than 6 months. Have more than 150 locations to drill in future. Broke even last quarter…
Alcanna (CLIQ-T) TSE
Is this a buy over the next 1-2 years? He thinks the buy in by Aurora was interesting. Their existing business is going through transformation and they are working at trying to improve on or sell assets – especially in Alberta. He is on the fringe of wanting to own it.
They make bikes, baby furniture, baby equipment, car seats, etc. The family that is involved in it owns a significant stake. He sees better days ahead. It is trading at a reasonable valuation. Dividend yield of about 4%.
It has done well and if the position is too large, trim it back. It has done a phenomenal job because they are one of the few that does not compete with AMZN-Q. The issue they are facing is that it is getting tougher to find more locations to open new stores. They made an…
Sold his holdings as he felt the company wasn't sufficiently forthcoming. If you own, continue to hold for the long-term, three years. Fully priced.
The shut down of Toys-R-Us created some disruption in this business. Paw Patrol still seems to be the big toy. This is a solid name and very well run. They have diversified their offering. Patience will be required in the short term.
He owned in the past. He got stopped out. Yield is 7%. 1700 screens and 165 theaters. They don't have control over the film slate but they do have control on the 70 million people that come every year and diversifying the offering and they are doing that with the rec rooms and so forth.…
Reitmans (RET-T) TSE
Retail markets is a tough area to be in right now so you should plan to hold for 5 years or more. Good quality retailer but will struggle with everybody else. About 8% dividend yield.
Uses natural gas to boost the efficiency of large engines. He has been hearing how great they are for at least 22 years. The company has done a really poor job in bringing out shareholder value. They like to raise money and have raised a lot over the years, but have never been profitable and…
An ETF that tracks Canadian crude oil prices. He predicts $35 West Texas crude. He would buy into dips below $40.
The preferred share market is not liquid. You should buy a small basket of preferreds with the assistance of an advisor. You can’t use an ETF in an illiquid market.
Why such a large correction? Preferred shares are a big part of this fund, and they took a hit because of higher interest rates.
Has been beaten up and you are getting double gearing to basket of producers. You are not taking single company risks.
He would rather have direct access to floating rates. In Canada there are very few original floating rate preferreds left. One of the highest quality is the Brookfield BAM Preferred B or Preferred K and generally they are in the market and trading 17, 18, so they are at a big discount to their par…
The pain in the preferred share market was mostly the result of the huge number of Reset Preferreds that came onto the market within the last 5 years, so a lot of these preferreds did not reset their dividend for 5 years, and a lot of them did it this year because it was their…
Doesn’t think this is worth buying, as he doesn’t expect the price of oil is going to change much from its $50 range. Whenever the price gets high, the Americans turn on the taps and the price goes back down again.
If you want access to emerging-market bonds, this is the way to go but he doesn’t do any of this because he would much rather be writing a Call on Canadian banks than he would on emerging-market bonds.
He likes the equal weight approach. He is looking for a trade here. You could see a bit of a lift on this one.
Will the rise in value of this ETF continue? The TD Bank and Bank of Montréal launched some structured products into the market that were linked to the payouts of the preferreds, and they were wildly successful. The demand for these preferreds went through the roof. He doesn’t think this is sustainable and he sold…
If you are looking for a growth story in Canada, not including energy, you'll have to look at midcaps. Avoids volatility.
A levered way to play Canadian banks. When oil prices go down, this bank goes down more than it should. If you think oil prices are near their bottom, and he does, as they go up, this bank will catch up. This could be a really good levered play. Be careful, because if oil were…
Fine to hold for the dividend, though there are better REITs. Experienced management that will maintain the yield. They are improving their portfolio. You're fine to own this.
Real estate is mostly in Quebec, a stable market, and Montreal is seeing an uptick. They own shopping meals. He likes it. Great dividend. They have new and better management.
Tied to the railroad industry, mid-west US. They made some non-rail acquisitions. They had a mini-stumble. This is not a bad entry point below $10.
Diversified commercial REIT. Relative to other names in the same space, it is reasonable value. Can continue buying properties at higher values because financing rates have come down. Came out with decent results and shot up over last 4 or 5 sessions.
(A Top Pick Jun 12/18, Down 2%) He bought it when Desmarais died and expected his heirs to inject fresh ideas. The NAV is now far ahead of the stock price. Still owns it, getting a nice 5.75% dividend. There are small signs that management is trying to make investors happier, but falling rates is…
If you can't buy the coin directly this is a very interesting leveraged play. It is one of the biggest bit coin miners out there. Two years from now the net asset value of the company could double. (Analysts’ target: $7.85).
(Real estate lending) Getting equity like returns with a debt like structure. Have positive earnings per share now and just recently did a financing to build up their loan book. Down the road it is going to be a great little company. The people behind it are very well-heeled and probably are looking at this…
He has never invested in it. When the company was raising funds, it was doing so at sizable discounts, which caused some concern. He does not yet understand how this technology will play out, so they are sitting on the sidelines. He is not sure this company could be a long term sustainable crypto-miner. He…
On his Watch List and he might be buying soon. The oil/gas seismic is part of their business, but they have had more of a growth in the trucking area where they have a solution for fleet management and tracking. This adds a lot of efficiencies.
They now have over $1 billion in terms of the value of the gold on hand. You are buying physical gold that this company is storing for you. They are also growing globally. Thinks the growth rate is going to be quite fast. He is interested both in the stock and what they are doing.
They are doing distinctive infrastructure, where they are digging trenches to get that last mile to the home. They are doing this in the UK, and have a large contract with one company. He really likes the story, but is waiting to see some revenues and earnings drop to the bottom line over the next…
Feels the market has been improving for them a little bit lately, with the increasing activity in oil/gas and some of the mining sectors. A cyclical company. Right now it is probably a good company to own. Management would be pretty determined to retain their dividend. Yield of 6.8%.
He bought it last year but is under water. The company got the "Buy America" certification. He is disappointed with the order intake. It could be delays in setting up shop in the US. The frame of the bus is made in China and trade tensions/tariffs may be a factor. You should see good orders…
Extendicare Inc (EXE-T) TSE
It's been beaten up, but the technicals look really good. It's broken a downtrend. Everything is lined up from a fundamental and technical perspective. If it breaks $8, then it should have no resistence to reach $10. Nice dividend above 6%. (Analysts' price target: $8.83)
He does not buy companies that have not been around for 10 years. He does not dip into Marijuana stocks. You need to look at management and look at their track record. Many of these companies are going to fail.
His 2nd largest holding. Currently have a lawsuit underway against Saint-Gobain & Philips. Separate from the lawsuit, an analyst has a $4 target. If they are successful in the lawsuit, it could add another $1.25 to the stock.
Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.
Happy trading !