This week’s new 52-week highs…
Thomson Reuters is still going up this week but very few Canadian stocks are reaching their 52 week high. Most are in the lows territory. Still the stocks below touched new highs.
👨👦 Human Resources
Just pulled back because of near-term concerns on upcoming European regulations, but believes that will ultimately create a tailwind as clients need to adapt a system to manage these new regulations. Trading at a 4-year low. He models a 6% EPS growth. They have an active Buy-back. Good balance sheet. Dividend yield of 3.1%. (Analysts’…
Aurora Spine (ASG-X) TSXV
Spinal repair, less invasive. He has met them, and the company is run by a man that was formerly a nurse. 55 operations to date and now it has approval from the FDA.
A tricky one. Have a very small mine in Ireland that they are trying to put into production as well as a small jewellery division. There is no clear indication of what they are trying to be. Gold deposit is very small.
For short-term investors such as money market types. Simple way to get broad, low cost diversified money market exposure.
In the business of originating and then later bundling and selling mortgages, mostly to some of the larger Canadian banks. With his views on the Canadian consumer, where housing is and slowing mortgage growth, he thinks this company’s business will slow. Would prefer places where you get higher growth in financial services.
At these levels the valuation looks attractive. The dividend is safe. They don’t have as high a dividend growth outlook as other REITs though. A good hold for a diversified portfolio.
Pattern Energy Group (PEGI-T) TSE
An independent power producer. They have about 3000 MW of basically US based, but they do have some projects, primarily wind, in Ontario and Manitoba. Trading very inexpensively. They have the ability through their parent Pattern Energy Group (PEGI-Q) to vend in new development projects, so they don’t sustain development risks. They are 89%-90% contracted…
This week’s new 52-week lows…
A wide range of Canadian stocks continued their drop into their 52-week low. Some stock expert’s favorites are among the list this week : Russel Metals, Crescent Point Energy Corp and Petrus Resources Ltd in the Basic Materials category. Dollarama Inc., Spin Master Corp., Cineplex Inc. and Power Corp. are dipping further with Cominar Real Estate Inv Tr (CUF.UN-T) all reaching 52-week lows.
Here’s the full list :
He does not buy or short gold stocks. From a momentum perspective, it fails poorly. With a trend down it will tend to get more selling until it reaches a floor, which it has not. There is not much cash flow and a small yield. It is a volatile stock.
A fantastic story. Have about 5 billion pounds of copper and gold. Cash costs in this environment should be about negative. Sees upside in this one.
He likes management and the asset. They are looking to produce 120,000-150,000 ounces of gold per year. They are all-in sustaining costs of around $740-$790. Have $50 million in cash. They are paying down their debt, which is only about $54 million. A single asset company and in a jurisdiction not everybody wants to be…
They are traying to lower their debt. Some momentum above $1.20. It had a break out from 75 cents. Has a few places of resistance as t works its way up. A stock he is trying to acquire.
Hold or Sell? This has had a nice move. If you are underweight the whole gold complex you might want to keep it. If you are a trader, you have had a spectacular move in the last 4 months, you might want to take your initial capital out.
Play on the US housing recovery as well as timber, as they ship to US and Asia. Management bought 3 sawmills in 2006 which have been losing money. Have recapitalized a couple of the mills and are looking for better utilization. With better timber prices, she is expecting it to turn around and will probably…
Has some very good assets, but unfortunately in some difficult environments, Greece being front and centre. Probably trades at a 30%-40% discount to its peers. A very low cost producer and great margins. Material growth down the road over the next 5 years. Unfortunately, they are in a bit of a battle with the more…
Likes management. Note that there is nothing immediately happening. It’s not something to chase, but just accumulate over the summer. Turkey is not bad at all, it is a democratic system. Their mining code is working. He thinks they have permitted 10 mines in 10 years. This company is technically very, very competent. Sitting on…
(A Top Pick Nov 2/10. Down 0.42%.) Gold deposit in Armenia with about 1.4 million ounces at just under a gram. They should resource out this month. This will be a very low cost, high margin deposit in the 2 million ounce range.
A bit difficult to value when looking at their assets. Started off as a developer in Red Lake, and everybody speculated that Goldcorp (G-T) would acquire them. That hasn’t happened. The geology just didn’t work out the way the company had expected. The company has now gone and done a bunch of other stuff, and…
Fundamentally it trades between 1 and 2 times book value. When it gets bellow book value is time to get in. Book value is between 16 and 17 and the stock is trading at 21. Probably has 5 bucks on the downside before is a buy. But balance sheet is fine. And the earnings continue…
Manufactures highly specialized envelopes. 55% market share in Canada. Just made an acquisition. Very focused on reducing costs.
Likes it. Idaho. Sunshine mine is back in production and silver is going up and these guys are starting to make some serious money.
Only drawback with this is perception, which is they don't have a 43101 resource and not well defined. In some circles, that is true but if you can actually get the ore and spend shareholders money to produce a profit, that's what you should do.
It would appear that they have got themselves into a whole mess of trouble. There are a lot of questions as to what is going on here. He had concerns that the high-grade mineralization was not being properly constrained and therefore being blown out across the whole thing. Currently it is under Cease Trading order.
GMV Minerals (GMV-X) TSXV
Thinks there is another mine in this company. This is a story that is going to unfold and he likes it.
It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.
This has done an incredible job of production and getting their costs down. We have a real use of natural gas for electricity air conditioning generation across North America, so gas prices are up. This is not the day that you want to buy gas stocks.
If you are a retiree and looking for income, this is a company that you definitely should look at. She has a lot of respect for the management team. Have done very well by investors historically. They are doing a rights offering to existing shareholders to bring some equity into the business, because they essentially…
There are 3 pressure pumpers in Canada and are involved in the hydraulic fracturing of reservoirs as part of the completion process after the well has been drilled. This company has struggled with the debt and has been selling their US business. At this point in the cycle, he wouldn’t be too constructive on this…
Their dividend payout is not sustainable at current levels. But correction in differential and $60 crude will keep the payout sustainable which he thinks will happen.
He likes both SU-T and CNQ-T and has made it a Top Pick in the past. Both these stocks continue to be good to hold. SU-T will continue to be a core holding for him as he likes both their upstream and downstream assets.
People consider it to be very cheap. You aren’t getting per share growth because debt pay down is their priority. You need a rally in the commodity price. They will muddle along with their peers.
An oilfield services company. Longer-term, he likes this. They are the Western Canadian leader in the coil tubing service business. Long-term, there is a good opportunity in this space. In the short term, he would be a little bit cautious on the entire services space. Profitability is pretty muted.
Just had a 20% correction, so it's now a good time to look at it. It's down, because it's taking time to get approval for some well pads in northeast BC. He expects they will get approval. But some fast-money investors got out which blasted out this stock. It's well-run with visionary managers. Fast growth.…
(A Top Pick Feb 13/18, Up 4%) They have irreplaceable assets that are fundamental to an economy, expensive to replace. They clean impurities from gas before that's shipped for home use. Pays an attractive yield with only minor commodity exposure.
Trucking and well completion services. Pre-eminent logistics player on oil sands. Expected them to make acquisitions by this time. Long-term, great company to own. 3.4% yield.
(Market Call Minute) He is looking for an entry point. One of the most exciting plays developing in the basin. Economics continuing to improve via lower well costs and better recoveries.
(Market Call Minute.) The debt on this is way, way too high. The CEO is very well regarded. He inherited a "bag of hammers" and has been selling off assets to pay down debt. Has been doing a fantastic job, but just doesn't see the investment thesis on this.
They are 9,200 boed and 71% natural gas. They are working at reducing debt and building a position in the Cardium area. He has a $2.40 per share target in the next 12 months and he holds it personally. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $1.75)
With the differential in Calgary these guys performed well due to South American assets. They don't have the same pipeline issues. The concern is where their future growth is going to come from. You can get better value in Canadian names that have been beat up.
Western Canadian oil is not so much driven by Canadian investors, it is the global or even the US investor that incrementally pushes these things and where the money comes to do financing. We have so much oil and the US is so successful about Fracing that oil will probably go to $80-$85. If he…
Global pipeline coatings. As a Canadian we should all be very proud of this company. There are not many Canadian companies that are a world leader in what they do. Has held this as a Long position many times. The downside is that they are going through a rough patch right now. Management feels that…
(3 Top picks are in the energy services sector, a lagging indicator of oil/gas.) Supply a lot of equipment and manufacturing to the service side. Cheap. Has a lot of potential torque. Virtually debt free.
(A Top Pick Feb 09/18, Down 57%) He sold them out at $3.50 back in April or May last year. Oil was at $60 and cash flow was growing. He liked this pressure pumper then. But now natural gas prices have gone to zero and condensate discounts have expanded. The whole service sector was decimated.
He says this company is trading below book value, when historically it has traded at 2 times book. He still worries about low oil prices and how it impacts next quarterly earnings. He would buy this under $2.
They missed yet again on their guidance and senior management has been departing the company. They have achieved a lot, but have consistently over-promised and under-delivered.
A darling four years ago, that is oil weighted. The took criticism for the last few acquisitions. He still considers it a core holding and sees a 5% growth outlook along with a 5% yield.
One of the 1st ones to unlock a zone in the Cardium, and now the industry is following them. Their results have been getting better and better and better. Production per share has been very, very strong. This is one that can compete with the US names.
(Market Call Minute.) Just acquired one of her junior companies and she intends to take the shares and hold.
Dividend is approaching 14%. Too good to be true? No. He used to own this. Trades at 0.6x book value, an all-time low. Dividend is safe. LNG will get built on the west coast, so be patient and get paid to wait.
High trade volume? She does not hold any energy producers at all right now, due to the takeaway issues and low commodity prices. Their $5 billion acquisition of Newfield turned the market off. The apathy in the market is not attractive to her as an investor.
They have gone through a lot of stress at the Board level but that seems to have cleared up. They have a strong balance sheet, with $328 million in debt compared to $2.17 billion of equity. Their production this year will be about the same as last year. He thinks this stock is cheap, like…
They did a good deal with VII-T. They build long term assets before the stock got beat up. It has recovered nicely. If the price of oil comes down then it is possible after the winter we could see lower prices of $4-5. Hold off and wait until about late Q2 of this year.
Has a very small position in this. Great yield of 6%. The balance sheet is not a problem. Valuation is fine at 10X EBITDA. Missed on a recent quarter which is why the price momentum has rolled off. Probably not a terrible stock to own here.
His Top Picks today are speculative and high risk and fairly illiquid, so don't use "Market Orders". Early stage. Have a lot of exploration projects.
Main focus is a play in Northern Alberta, Esteem River (?). Have about 40 sections of land, which contain a lot of oil so wells they drill are very economic. Some of the wells have paid back in less than 6 months. Have more than 150 locations to drill in future. Broke even last quarter…
Alcanna (CLIQ-T) TSE
Is this a buy over the next 1-2 years? He thinks the buy in by Aurora was interesting. Their existing business is going through transformation and they are working at trying to improve on or sell assets – especially in Alberta. He is on the fringe of wanting to own it.
They make bikes, baby furniture, baby equipment, car seats, etc. The family that is involved in it owns a significant stake. He sees better days ahead. It is trading at a reasonable valuation. Dividend yield of about 4%.
A great stock. It struggled last year as the stock price fell, but has responded well thus far in 2019. Last quarter earnings were an improvement, but the multiples are now much more affordable. It is subject to opportunity if the economy slows down.
Sold his holdings as he felt the company wasn't sufficiently forthcoming. If you own, continue to hold for the long-term, three years. Fully priced.
Largest demographic group is the 29 years old. Ready at the point of household formation. No debt. They generate a lot of cash. (Analysts’ price target is $50.33)
It's been a rollercoaster, killed in Q4. but he's expected a big year in the cinemas in Q2 and Q3 with a lot of box office money to be made. Also, the Rec Rooms and selling wine and beer in all theatres are good diversifiers. CGX competes with home video streaming, though. CGX is priced…
Reitmans (RET-T) TSE
Retail markets is a tough area to be in right now so you should plan to hold for 5 years or more. Good quality retailer but will struggle with everybody else. About 8% dividend yield.
Uses natural gas to boost the efficiency of large engines. He has been hearing how great they are for at least 22 years. The company has done a really poor job in bringing out shareholder value. They like to raise money and have raised a lot over the years, but have never been profitable and…
An ETF that tracks Canadian crude oil prices. He predicts $35 West Texas crude. He would buy into dips below $40.
This is not a Preferred Share Market. We are in the early stages of rising interest rates. Most preferred shares, with the exception of a lot of the bank preferred shares, are perpetual preferred shares and will do poorly in a rising interest rate market.
Why such a large correction? Preferred shares are a big part of this fund, and they took a hit because of higher interest rates.
Has been beaten up and you are getting double gearing to basket of producers. You are not taking single company risks.
He would rather have direct access to floating rates. In Canada there are very few original floating rate preferreds left. One of the highest quality is the Brookfield BAM Preferred B or Preferred K and generally they are in the market and trading 17, 18, so they are at a big discount to their par…
The pain in the preferred share market was mostly the result of the huge number of Reset Preferreds that came onto the market within the last 5 years, so a lot of these preferreds did not reset their dividend for 5 years, and a lot of them did it this year because it was their…
A bit tricky in that Suncor is a big part of it. If you really believe and want to invest in oil, particularly in Western Canada, the guys that are going to get the biggest kicks are the ones that have been hammered down. The boys out West have done a really good job in…
If you want access to emerging-market bonds, this is the way to go but he doesn’t do any of this because he would much rather be writing a Call on Canadian banks than he would on emerging-market bonds.
He likes the equal weight approach. He is looking for a trade here. You could see a bit of a lift on this one.
Will the rise in value of this ETF continue? The TD Bank and Bank of Montréal launched some structured products into the market that were linked to the payouts of the preferreds, and they were wildly successful. The demand for these preferreds went through the roof. He doesn’t think this is sustainable and he sold…
If you are looking for a growth story in Canada, not including energy, you'll have to look at midcaps. Avoids volatility.
The whole banking sector is quite positive. The chart shows a little head and shoulders. If it can break above $32, it would probably run away pretty nicely. He likes the whole financial sector. (See Top Picks.)
Haven’t looked at it for 2 years. REIT sector hasn’t had great tailwinds, with rates going up. But now REITs have outperformed the TSX. Artis reissued securities, has assets in the US. Balance sheet getting a bit better, solid management. But company is unfocussed. Other REITs are doing better. Struggling to find its identity. Avoid…
Heartbreaking story. Haven’t been as aggressive on asset sales, balance sheet not great. Model negative growth of -3.8%. Sowing seeds for growth, and if that’s the case, you can own it here. Trading at 11.3x. Wouldn’t be his first go-to, but OK at these levels.
It is a smaller cap REIT. The payout is high. Most of the earnings are US$ translated back to CAD$, which just appreciated over the last three months. The market is pricing this depreciation in the yield into the stock. He is not expecting a dividend cut, but it is a possibility. AIR B&B’s have…
Diversified commercial REIT. Relative to other names in the same space, it is reasonable value. Can continue buying properties at higher values because financing rates have come down. Came out with decent results and shot up over last 4 or 5 sessions.
POW-T vs. PWF-T. Great West Life is the underlying company that supports both of these stocks. They are basically the same price. POW-T trades at a discount to GWO-T. You need to believe in GWO-T to own these two companies.
If you can't buy the coin directly this is a very interesting leveraged play. It is one of the biggest bit coin miners out there. Two years from now the net asset value of the company could double. (Analysts’ target: $7.85).
(Real estate lending) Getting equity like returns with a debt like structure. Have positive earnings per share now and just recently did a financing to build up their loan book. Down the road it is going to be a great little company. The people behind it are very well-heeled and probably are looking at this…
He has never invested in it. When the company was raising funds, it was doing so at sizable discounts, which caused some concern. He does not yet understand how this technology will play out, so they are sitting on the sidelines. He is not sure this company could be a long term sustainable crypto-miner. He…
On his Watch List and he might be buying soon. The oil/gas seismic is part of their business, but they have had more of a growth in the trucking area where they have a solution for fleet management and tracking. This adds a lot of efficiencies.
They now have over $1 billion in terms of the value of the gold on hand. You are buying physical gold that this company is storing for you. They are also growing globally. Thinks the growth rate is going to be quite fast. He is interested both in the stock and what they are doing.
They are doing distinctive infrastructure, where they are digging trenches to get that last mile to the home. They are doing this in the UK, and have a large contract with one company. He really likes the story, but is waiting to see some revenues and earnings drop to the bottom line over the next…
Feels the market has been improving for them a little bit lately, with the increasing activity in oil/gas and some of the mining sectors. A cyclical company. Right now it is probably a good company to own. Management would be pretty determined to retain their dividend. Yield of 6.8%.
A company that probably went ahead of themselves in terms of investors expectations. The space has been beaten up a lot lately. He prefers NFI Group Inc. (NFI-T) much better in the space that hasn't traded this cheap in the last 5 years. (Analysts’ price target is $1.77)
Extendicare Inc (EXE-T) TSE
They are a leader in Canada, used to be in the US but pulled back. He bought it but it pulled back. He is getting a good return from the coupons. He thinks this one can double. They have more debt than he would like to see but the payout ratio is reasonable. It is…
He does not buy companies that have not been around for 10 years. He does not dip into Marijuana stocks. You need to look at management and look at their track record. Many of these companies are going to fail.
His 2nd largest holding. Currently have a lawsuit underway against Saint-Gobain & Philips. Separate from the lawsuit, an analyst has a $4 target. If they are successful in the lawsuit, it could add another $1.25 to the stock.
Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.
Happy trading !