Most Anticipated Earnings: NTR-T, ONEX-T and more Canadian Companies Reporting Earnings this Week (Feb 17-21)

He just trimmed target due to additional capex. EBITDA up 10%, nice. He is worried about tariffs on this name. Always trades a bit pricey. Expects 11% EPS growth, trades at 19.5x. Could probably get cheaper, but good grower over time.If you think tariffs will go away, good technical level to start nibbling at.

(A Top Pick Jan 15/24, Down 6%) Didn't meet his expectations last year. Revenue growth was softer. Company exited higher-risk jurisdictions to focus on more stable areas. Management's doing well, financials are good. Watching to see how well it penetrates US market. Still likes it.

(A Top Pick April 3/14. Down 12%.) A fully integrated agricultural company with a railroad to their elevators along with production of legumes and wheat. Thinks it should deliver quite nicely this summer because of what is going on in California. Feels drought is going to haunt us from a food inflation perspective.

They do physical and cybersecurity. A very small-cap, early-stage company. If they execute in the next 2-3 years, they will be great.

Extracts protein from vegetables like canola, peas, and soy. Has 285 patents. There is negligible revenue despite the company being around for more than 20 years. Difficult to apply fundamental analysis. Too speculative for him. Need to see revenue and profit.

World's largest ag-crop nutrient business. Vertically integrated. Believes prices for its input commodities have bottomed, supported by high and rising cash-crop prices. Farmers have to replace nutrients in soil, which was delayed while prices were so high. Trades at book value. Bounced off lows, but still sees upside. In his dividend growers mandate. Yield is…

Best of breed. HQ remains in Canada, hearing message loud and clear from shareholders. Tremendous compounder, great serial acquirer. Purchase of UPS less-than-truckload still trying to be integrated to their standard. A good business, buy on sale.

Its businesses depend on consumers, so some growth might be capped. Pullback could be a time to look at it, but has already done pretty well over the medium term. Steady-eddy with potentially high valuation. Keep an eye on.

Owns shares in company. Has done well the past year. Expecting further upside going forward. Dividend is expected sometime soon. Subcontracting business from Air Canada very good for reliable revenues. Price multiple not as high as it should be. 

He is one of the largest shareholders in this. They now have 2 commercial mills up and running with their DuraBind products. They make the binding that goes into IKEA-like furniture. Not into IKEA yet, but there is a good chance they will be. IKEA has announced that they want all their bindings for furniture,…

Customized, prefabricated environmental office interior solutions. High net cash position. Significant upside because of their flexible business model. Surge in office reconfiguration taking place across North America. Top management. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $3.46)

Homebuilding stocks in the US have been going straight up, but Canadian forestry stocks have been going the other way. WFG has done the best in holding its share price.IFP and CFP have really started to bottom on the charts. He hasn't done enough digging to know who has a better earnings profile. But looking…

Condo sales falling has reduced demand for storage. Overall, company is fairly small. Debt levels are high, but manageable. Would recommend holding. 

Huge new facility is coming onstream, and fundamentals in containerboard are more solid than in the very competitive tissue market. Facility over budget, so will take a while to get a return. Focused on debt reduction.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 9c missed estimates of 17.5c; revenue of $72M missed estimates by 2%. EBITDA missed by 11%. SXP is down significantly over the last twelve months by ~42% and recent earnings pointed towards declining profits and revenues. Revenue fell $6M. Earnings and EBITDA margins…

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research CFX has been on a steady downtrend. Revenue has been in decline over the last two years, free cash flow has gone negative and it has been operating at a net loss since 2019. Debt has been increasing as well and net debt is now…

There were a couple of subtle things went on with the trust conversion which discouraged a lot of investors. An illiquid stock. Most of their exposure is in B.C. and Alberta where housing is still very strong. Thinks we're at the peak of a cycle so don't have it as a long term hold.

They own a series of food distribution businesses. It appears they are not making any money from them. It appears to be a scale problem.

All insurers are doing well. They have some P&C business in the US which is volatile--beware. But has no problem with this.

Still a REIT giant. Leads in the retail-focused, mixed-property use. Definitely impacted by The Bay situation. Retail weakness over next 6-12 months could be an issue.Saw 96% retail occupancy in Q4, and 1.5% rental growth. Pressure from e-commerce. Issued debt in January to bolster balance sheet, debt is still manageable. Rate cuts could continue to…

Very good company with industrial properties in Canada and Europe. Recent pullback in share price has created buying opportunity. Owns shares in portfolio. Nature of short term leases agreements not a huge factor on revenues - expected to remain strong. 

(A Top Pick Nov 29/24, Up 0%) (Note the short timeframe.)  Caught up in sentiment against the financial sector. In the group, insurance companies have actually held up fairly well (haven't gone down as much as everything else). 

More interest rate cuts are good for it and it has a good quality base. Has a sustainable dividend.

Large ownership of US properties. Too small to own at this point, but very cheap stock that could have a lot of value. 

Owns shares in business. Portfolio includes properties in Alberta which is not rent controlled. Recent share price sell-off not a concern. Overall is a high quality business. Concern around tariffs not a worry. Would recommend buying. Alberta is a great place to do business, and is expected to keep growing (good for business). 

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research AIF saw a sharp drop following its Q3 financial results reported in early November. The stock's struggles have been driven by the slowdown in the real estate market and particularly, concerns regarding commerical real estate. Valuation has now come down to a more reasonable 18.3x…

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research Certainly at 5X earnings MRC can be considered cheap. Shares are very tightly held with 74% held by a connected group. The dividend is fairly low and shares have not done much, so it is not our favourite, as we do prefer more growth. But…

This is a seasonal period when Lifecos in general tend to do well. This is a special vehicle where they buy a lifeco, split it up and give the capital appreciation to one half, and the dividend to the other half. Dividend yield of 19% is extremely high, and he is having trouble with that.…

(A Top Pick Dec 31/24, Down 4.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ONEX has triggered its stop at $108.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 6%.

CIX vs. BAM Are very different asset managers. CI's balance sheet is not good. Prefers BAM, but shares have risen to a high valuation. Great managers and earnings stream (asset management fees).

Most investors need some help investing in natural resources. Sprott is a brand name for natural resources, in physical trusts and in equities management. You get the same diversification as a mutual fund, except they pay you a dividend instead of you paying them a fee. That's pretty good math 😉  Yield is 2.87%.Disclosure: he's…

Lending in real estate finance. Very interest-rate sensitive. If you think interest rates are going to rise, as in 2022, then it will underperform significantly. Will do better if rates fall. Thinks the BOC has a bit more to go on that, so there could be a bit more upside.But the stock's already rallied back…

Some upside potential as measured by FMV, perhaps 28%. Has set back to technical support. Overall chart for 10 years shows a company whose balance sheet is slowly, slowly eroding. Balance sheet quality is OK, but doesn't make his socks roll up and down. Nice dividend, but not covered for the next 12 months.

Has held up well at 8x PE, even with nat gas prices low. Pristine balance sheet, using it to invest in equipment that reduces carbon footprint, which gives it a marketing advantage. One of the more volatile among the service companies. Yield is 3-4%.

Company share price is reflective of lack in interest in small energy names (market cap too small). Company needs to sell itself in order to generate value. Better options for investors out there. 

Not a good investment with current management team. Other energy companies available with better opportunities.

Broken out to new highs. Benefits from falling interest rates, which should continue in Canada even if not in the US. Energy is a foundation of our economy, and as our economy grows we'd expect energy demand to grow as well. May have additional boost from newer sectors, like nuclear, growing more rapidly.

One of the worst energy names. The CEO and board did one of the word acquisitions in history. When the market wanted natural gas, they added liquids exposure. Are the worst-performing nat gas stock in North America. No upside. An activist has put members on the board.

Mistakes in capital deployment were made about 3 years ago. Believes Turkiye mine will go into production, and cashflow will really change this company. Now using FCF to pay down debt rapidly. Either share price goes up, or company is taken over.

One of the most senior producers of silver. Silver is better than gold, as the bulk of silver production comes from copper mines. Silver just crossed $24, and there's lots of upside. SSRM has a $28 price target. He wants something that will benefit once inflation is realized.

He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…

(A Top Pick Jul 19/23, Up 51.83%) Still likes it, given where we are in the cycle. Copper still has some room to run. Consolidating here, but expects it to break out to new highs either this year or early next. Same applies to TECK.B.

(A Top Pick Jul 09/24, Up 51%) He's bullish on gold. Excellent management. Among the very best reserves, and keeps finding more quality ones.

Sold off aggressively after acquisition. Reasonably good job paying down debt. Guatemalan assets will probably restart in 2024. He notes that he's a close personal friend of the CEO.

Emerging play in South America. Not the quality asset of a FCX, but it is safer. He's not a mining expert, but thinks there's some money to be made here.

Not to be confused with Osisko Mining, OR-T is a pure-play royalies streamer in precious metals, and minerals have been hot on the TSX so far this year. OR-T is up nearly 19% or three-fold the Toronto index's performance. As gold makes new highs almost every day, OR continues to shine. It trades just over…

(A Top Pick Oct 31/24, Down 11.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with HBM has triggered its stop at $11.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 12%, when combined with our previous guidance.  

Longtime shareholder and friend of founder/CEO. Behind schedule and over budget on mine in northern Canada. Very remote location, logistically challenged. If that can get resolved, expects stock to be much higher. Stock's extremely cheap from a sum-of-the-parts point of view, but there is completion risk (which, ironically, you can't quantify until you complete the…

It is low grade and they have had issues getting it to make money. It probably won’t make a lot of money ever unless the price of gold goes up.

Collection of Tier 2 assets. Never been fond of Ontario assets. He likes higher quality. Could do very well with a rising price for gold, which tends to favour the marginal over the lower-cost producer.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research TXG is a small-cap gold producer with assets located in Mexico. TXG has generated decent cash flow over the last few years with strong organic growth. The company has been reinvesting heavily back into the business through capital investment. Therefore, TXG does not pay any…

Does not own shares. Prefers companies companies with lower costs and higher return on capital. 

World's largest gold miner. She continues to be bullish on gold at these prices. World-class assets. Gold's price rise could lift margins if costs stabilize. Costs jumped. Weak 2025 guidance. Revenue flat. If gold dips, profits will shrink fast. Stable, still room to run. (Analysts’ price target is $82.00)

Mainly copper and zinc. Incredibly cyclical. In 2011, share price was higher than today. Easier to look for companies that are delivering consistent profit growth over time. Pass on this type of business.

Came off quite significantly between December and March. Previous high was ~$85; the 50% retracement takes us to $72.50. This is where we saw some resistance in early February. Hard to say if it would get to $80. Usually, if there's a move in a stock, the countermove can often be about half of that.

Highly ranked stock acting extremely well. RSI doing well. Stock's currently in an uptrend, and gold is trending upward. Gold is consolidating around $3000. 

The question was on Iamgold and Teck Resources. IMG has declared some good news from its Quebec mine and Teck has more copper production with gold as an add-on. However both operate in some places that are less politically agreeable. He likes the gold sector but prefers bigger and more diversified companies in more stable…

(A Top Pick Dec 13/22, Up 19.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ELD has triggered its stop at $13.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 19%, when combined with our previous recommendations.  

Does not own shares, but could be a good option for short term traders. Unsure on direction of company. 

A fan, but doesn't own. Recent acquisition will help use free cashflow against tax-loss carryforwards. Won't buy until he sees resolution of issue at Jerritt Canyon. Big fan of CEO and track record.

It's good to be in gold now, and CG is one of the cheapest gold stocks. They've diversified their portfolio geographically, which is good, but this stock always bounces around.

They had three working mines, now two. When you have a major catastrophe in a mine, people often jump out. This company has been around for years and years. That shows a certain staying power. He likes to invest in companies that have been around for at least 10 years. He doesn’t know their financials,…

It's time will likely come, but he has a hard time understanding the geology of the project. He doesn't own stocks where he doesn't understand the geology. He holds OR instead. 

A project that is effectively right underneath the Horne Mine Complex in Québec. Originally it was very low grade gold and copper, so in order for this to be economic, they have to be able to mine it using bulk mining methods, and keep the costs as low as possible. That would entail blockading. He…

The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.

They have gone through cycles and problems and have handled them. It should probably do OK in the long term.

He knows it very well, back to when they were private. They continue to build out. If they can allocate capital well, resulting in animated programs that are well-syndicated, then they should do well. If not, then this will be a lumpy stock. He needs to research them more.

The ultimate winner in inflation. Tough business, low margins, competitive. He owns COST. Loblaw is well run, as are MRU and EMP.A

It's cheap, and surprised shares haven't moved higher. They will buy wireless assets from Shaw to become the #4 player in Canadian telcos. Valuation is lower than its peers.

(A Top Pick Jan 23/24, Up 3%) Benefiting from the Freedom Mobile purchase. Able to expand in Ontario and Western Canada without deploying too much capex. Very high ROE and free cashflow, allowing them to lower debt and obtain investment-grade rating on bonds. Aggressively buying back shares. Best-performing telecom stock this year.

(A Top Pick Mar 26/18, Up 97%) They smartly bought some spectrum rights a few years ago, and now they're on the fringe of the 5G spectrum. So the value of their spectrum rights will be realized later this year. He took profits, and would be lightening up on this now as the stock does…

He owned the stock years ago. They dry things like food. They are now getting into the marijuana space. It has done very well lately but if they are going to get meaningful contracts, they are going to do well.

Kudos to the new executive at delevering and cleaning things up. Inexpensive valuation. Still a lot of debt. A turnaround story. 3% of your portfolio is a bit heavy. Add some diversity. Had a great move. Be cautious.

Very compelling supply/demand fundamentals. Tailwind of seniors' population growth. Retirement portfolio recovering nicely. LTC care segment in Ontario is seeing massive waiting lists. Phenomenal management team. Discount to NAV. On track to higher occupancies. Yield is 6%. (Analysts’ price target is $18.72)

They are like an Uber for healthcare staff: allows hospitals to quickly hiring nurses for hospitals, and PHA transports patients and staff. Not well known. The problem, is that haven't been able to expand outside Quebec--and he's looking for this. That said, you can own this now.

Good business, decent ROIC. Multiple's not inexpensive. Lots of retailers are available under 13x with great ROIC. He continues to meet with management.

This is how he'd play the renewable energy trade. Thinks rates will go higher next year, which makes him cautious. If that's the case for rates, a lot of the bond proxies like utilities and REITs are going to come under pressure. A bit more upside potential, but for a trade.

(A Top Pick Jul 12/24, Up 11%) It broke out since mid-July but has been sideways lately. As long as the stock holds at lows around $44, fine, but if it breaks below that, there will likely be more downside.

He's looking at it. It's softened up considerably. Decent dividend payer, cut a few years ago but now back on track. High-quality company with share price having sold off. An opportunity, but he hasn't pulled the trigger yet.Spike on chart due to strong earnings and a bunch of analysts giving it a "Buy". Got ahead…

This is how he'd play the renewable energy trade. Thinks rates will go higher next year, which makes him cautious. If that's the case for rates, a lot of the bond proxies like utilities and REITs are going to come under pressure. A bit more upside potential, but for a trade.

Volatility in last month has been great for all the utilities. Not a lot of growth, only ~7%. He looks for a bit more growth. Great place to shelter for defensive positioning, plus 4.9% yield.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research We like KSI, and we even covered the name in one of our latest podcast episodes (link to our discussion on KSI can be found here). KSI is a $630M healthcare SaaS company that provides solutions for data and document management. Good sales growth is expected…

Has pretty well fallen off the radar screen of most analysts. Sales are down 12%. Ranks in the bottom 20% of their database.

He hasn't heard any recent news on the company. The stock has moved up a lot lately, but is still well below past highs. Demand for company products remains huge. The CEO promises good news in the next earnings report.