Amica Mature Lifestyles (ACC-T) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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Amica Mature Lifestyles (ACC-T)

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REAL ESTATE

Amica Mature Lifestyles

ACC-T

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Amica Mature Lifestyles (ACC-T) SAVE Dec, 31, 1969, 7:00 pm

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DON'T BUY

Seniors sector.  When Regal was bought out, it provided a boost to this one.  It has a fair amount of debt and that has kept him out of the stock.  Prefers CSH.UN-T.

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Seniors sector.  When Regal was bought out, it provided a boost to this one.  It has a fair amount of debt and that has kept him out of the stock.  Prefers CSH.UN-T.

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Derek Warren

Asst Vice , Lincluden Investment...

Price Price
$8.250
Owned Owned
No

BUY

Regal was paid a premium of 18% when they made an acquisition.  He has owned ACC-T for a long time.  There are growth issues.  It is a demographic play and is best in class for its sector.  He thinks there will be price pressure to the upside on this one.  It is either a re-rating or a buyout story. 

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Regal was paid a premium of 18% when they made an acquisition.  He has owned ACC-T for a long time.  There are growth issues.  It is a demographic play and is best in class for its sector.  He thinks there will be price pressure to the upside on this one.  It is either a re-rating or a buyout story. 

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Paul Gardner, C

Partner an, Avenue Investment Ma...

Price Price
$8.750
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT

High quality seniors housing across Canada. Have been one of the laggards when looking at stock performance, versus a real estate sector, as a whole. Had some difficulty on their leverage, which is higher than many of their peers. Also, have a large proportion of their assets in “lease up” communities, so are not fully stabilized from an occupancy perspective, and have needed to increase the occupancy, which they have. The dividend yield is very sustainable and payout ratio is around 85%. There is a question on how they are going to grow with their high level of leverage. At some point there is going to be a transaction that surfaces the value for shareholders.

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High quality seniors housing across Canada. Have been one of the laggards when looking at stock performance, versus a real estate sector, as a whole. Had some difficulty on their leverage, which is higher than many of their peers. Also, have a large proportion of their assets in “lease up” communities, so are not fully stabilized from an occupancy perspective, and have needed to increase the occupancy, which they have. The dividend yield is very sustainable and payout ratio is around 85%. There is a question on how they are going to grow with their high level of leverage. At some point there is going to be a transaction that surfaces the value for shareholders.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$7.480
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT

Has lagged because they encountered some operational issues. Their portfolio has not entirely stabilized. They have a handful of properties where the occupancy is significantly below 75%. They communicated to the Street that they are going to try to get that occupancy a lot higher, but have quite a ways to get their targets. Also, the stock has never been really cheap. Thinks management is positioning the company and addressing the issues for growth in 2015-2016. He likes that management owns about 25% of the company.

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Has lagged because they encountered some operational issues. Their portfolio has not entirely stabilized. They have a handful of properties where the occupancy is significantly below 75%. They communicated to the Street that they are going to try to get that occupancy a lot higher, but have quite a ways to get their targets. Also, the stock has never been really cheap. Thinks management is positioning the company and addressing the issues for growth in 2015-2016. He likes that management owns about 25% of the company.

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Andy Nasr

VP & Inves, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$7.000
Owned Owned
Yes

DON'T BUY

Seniors housing.  Leverage is seen as too high by the street (65%).  Payout is safe at around 85%.  They have to deal with the leverage.

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Seniors housing.  Leverage is seen as too high by the street (65%).  Payout is safe at around 85%.  They have to deal with the leverage.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$6.940
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY

Owns and operates high quality retirement properties in Canada.  It has not done well.  There was some development land that was to be sold and add liquidity to the company, but that did not happen.  He has confidence in the management.

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Owns and operates high quality retirement properties in Canada.  It has not done well.  There was some development land that was to be sold and add liquidity to the company, but that did not happen.  He has confidence in the management.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$7.250
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT

Owner of very high-end retirement homes across Canada. Trading around the 10%-12% discount to what the assets are worth. Fall of this stock price has befuddled many in the investment community. The only thing he can think of is that they have come out with some increased disclosure looking through to some of the assets where they own partial equity ownership and the leverage looked a little bit higher than most people anticipated. Also, they have a large proportion of their assets in lease-up, whereby they are not fully stabilized so some investors might be a little bit concerned as to whether those assets are going to be stabilized sooner rather than later. He has confidence in this company.

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Owner of very high-end retirement homes across Canada. Trading around the 10%-12% discount to what the assets are worth. Fall of this stock price has befuddled many in the investment community. The only thing he can think of is that they have come out with some increased disclosure looking through to some of the assets where they own partial equity ownership and the leverage looked a little bit higher than most people anticipated. Also, they have a large proportion of their assets in lease-up, whereby they are not fully stabilized so some investors might be a little bit concerned as to whether those assets are going to be stabilized sooner rather than later. He has confidence in this company.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$7.350
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY

Trading at a discount to NAV. He likes the seniors sector. At this price, this is a very good Buy. People over 75 are going to increase by 50% over the next couple of decades, which should bolster demand for seniors housing. Had a bit of an issue last quarter with respect to lease of some new properties, but doesn’t feel this represents a long-term problem.

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Trading at a discount to NAV. He likes the seniors sector. At this price, this is a very good Buy. People over 75 are going to increase by 50% over the next couple of decades, which should bolster demand for seniors housing. Had a bit of an issue last quarter with respect to lease of some new properties, but doesn’t feel this represents a long-term problem.

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Andy Nasr

VP & Inves, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$8.150
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY
Amica Mature Lifestyles(ACC-T) 

November 20, 2013

High-quality seniors housing. Have done a good job of growing over the last few years by acquiring some of the minority interests. Pleasantly surprised over the recent quarterly earnings on their “lease up” portfolios, and that the occupancy has grown. Leverage has picked up a bit, but, as assets are leased up over time and management becomes more focused on the portfolio, this should be dealt with. 5 % Distribution.

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High-quality seniors housing. Have done a good job of growing over the last few years by acquiring some of the minority interests. Pleasantly surprised over the recent quarterly earnings on their “lease up” portfolios, and that the occupancy has grown. Leverage has picked up a bit, but, as assets are leased up over time and management becomes more focused on the portfolio, this should be dealt with. 5 % Distribution.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$8.380
Owned Owned
Yes

HOLD

Growth in this company is going to slow a little. A lot of their growth has been through acquiring facilities, developing facilities and acquiring larger stakes in facilities they already own. This is going to slow down a little but they will continue to grow. Good management. Trading at or just below NAV. Dividend is safe and you can expect modest growth going forward. If you are willing to accept a little volatility than you could step into this. 4.9% dividend yield is safe.

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Growth in this company is going to slow a little. A lot of their growth has been through acquiring facilities, developing facilities and acquiring larger stakes in facilities they already own. This is going to slow down a little but they will continue to grow. Good management. Trading at or just below NAV. Dividend is safe and you can expect modest growth going forward. If you are willing to accept a little volatility than you could step into this. 4.9% dividend yield is safe.

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Dennis Mitchell

Executive , Sentry Select Capita...

Price Price
$8.650
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY

Very high quality seniors housing across Canada.  Lots of them located in urban core.  First rate management.  Looking for 4-6% cash flow growth.  Improvements in the portfolio through rent increases and occupancy as well as consolidation of some of the partial ownership in some assets plus development.  Just under 5% yield, 80% payout ratio.  Expects distribution to increase within 12 months.

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Very high quality seniors housing across Canada.  Lots of them located in urban core.  First rate management.  Looking for 4-6% cash flow growth.  Improvements in the portfolio through rent increases and occupancy as well as consolidation of some of the partial ownership in some assets plus development.  Just under 5% yield, 80% payout ratio.  Expects distribution to increase within 12 months.

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Michael Missagh

VP & Sr. P, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$8.850
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT

Big drag had been there property in Belleville but they seem to have got it back on pace. Occupancy across the rest of the portfolio has been solid. Rent growth is one of their strong suits. Tend to cater to residents capable and willing to pay $3000 plus per month. Recently increased their dividend so doesn’t believe there is another one in the cards for later this year.

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Big drag had been there property in Belleville but they seem to have got it back on pace. Occupancy across the rest of the portfolio has been solid. Rent growth is one of their strong suits. Tend to cater to residents capable and willing to pay $3000 plus per month. Recently increased their dividend so doesn’t believe there is another one in the cards for later this year.

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Dennis Mitchell

Executive , Sentry Select Capita...

Price Price
$9.250
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT

Seniors housing property, mostly in Western Canada and tends to be higher luxury priced properties. Expects the company will continue to increase ownership in some of the properties where they have a minority ownership. As that happens, there will be more potential for more cash flow growth and distribution increases. Trading at a discount to NAV.

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Seniors housing property, mostly in Western Canada and tends to be higher luxury priced properties. Expects the company will continue to increase ownership in some of the properties where they have a minority ownership. As that happens, there will be more potential for more cash flow growth and distribution increases. Trading at a discount to NAV.

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Andy Nasr

VP & Inves, Sentry Investments...

Price Price
$9.250
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK
Amica Mature Lifestyles(ACC-T) 

November 27, 2012

(A Top Pick Dec 5/11. Up 24.39%.)

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(A Top Pick Dec 5/11. Up 24.39%.)

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Dennis Mitchell

Executive , Sentry Select Capita...

Price Price
$9.200
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY

High-end retirement homes. Very good management team. Still have the ability to grow. Good demographic play. Had a hiccup because of funding issues and operation issues but they are great operators. Payout ratio has grown from 65% in the 3rd quarter to 87.6% in the 4th in 2011. Anything under 90%-100% you are pretty safe.

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High-end retirement homes. Very good management team. Still have the ability to grow. Good demographic play. Had a hiccup because of funding issues and operation issues but they are great operators. Payout ratio has grown from 65% in the 3rd quarter to 87.6% in the 4th in 2011. Anything under 90%-100% you are pretty safe.

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Paul Gardner, C

Partner an, Avenue Investment Ma...

Price Price
$9.610
Owned Owned
Yes

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