Opinions
Stuart Hinshelwood
Vodafone Group PLC
VOD-Q
SELL
Feb 18, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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A hard one to look at. You will see red if you have held it for a while. This is due to their spinout. Your book price is higher due to the fact it does not take into account of the dividend from the spinout. Tends to build up companies and then spins them out. There is growth however. Brexit was the biggest impediment for them. UK based companies now should do pretty well. Good for income.
The recently announced proposed merger with another network provider has great upside potential and is called a "game changer" for bringing more competition to the UK mobile market, while allowing economies of scale for a 5G rollout. The company trades at 9x earnings, under book value, is growing cash reserves, and supports a 20% ROE. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $8, looking to achieve $13 -- upside potential of 33%. Yield 0.9%
(Analysts’ price target is $13.38)We reiterate VOD, who is teaming up with Amazon to provide satellite based service into Africa and Europe, as a TOP PICK. The project is set to begin in 2024 and avoids land-based fibre optic investment. It trades at 13x earnings and under book value, while supporting a 20% ROE and growing cash reserves. We continue to recommend a stop at $8, looking to achieve $12 -- upside over 25%. Yield 0.9%
(Analysts’ price target is $13.72)Our PAST TOP PICK with VOD has triggered its stop at $9. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with previous buy recommendations, this will result in a net investment loss of 4%.
He would tend to be a seller of this. Nothing wrong with the company, but you’ve got the deadlines coming up where the transition is going to take place in their business and then they’ll be flush with cash and what are they going to do with it. Thinks you can get this back in the $33-$34 range.