Stock price when the opinion was issued
Yesterday, they reported a surprisingly strong quarter with in-line sales, an earnings beat, but share flatlined today. Why? UAL offered 2 sets of guidance--one for a stable economy and the other for a recession. That's a brilliant idea. Bookings could be stable or weaken. Both forecasts are certainly possible.
We reiterate UAL as a TOP PICK. Earnings will be released around mid-month and the market has already factored in a 7% decline in EPS. As customer air miles travelled is set to hit an all time high, we think this is a good time to add to our previous guidance. It trades at 7x earnings, 2x book and supports a robust 33% ROE. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $54) to $63, looking to achieve $99 -- upside potential of 23%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $98.95)