Opinions
The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
United Airlines Holdings
UAL-Q
TOP PICK
May 18, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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As US air travel breaks all time records, we select UAL as a TOP PICK. The FAA just cleared them to continue expansion plans following the recent spat of flight mishaps. It trades at 6x earnings, under 2x book and supports a 33% ROE. Cash reserves are growing, while debt is aggressively retired. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $41, looking to achieve $68 -- upside potential of 30%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $68.67)Yesterday, they reported a surprisingly strong quarter with in-line sales, an earnings beat, but share flatlined today. Why? UAL offered 2 sets of guidance--one for a stable economy and the other for a recession. That's a brilliant idea. Bookings could be stable or weaken. Both forecasts are certainly possible.
UAL is benefiting from pent up domestic and international travel demand. Management expects quarterly revenue growth of 14% and cargo revenue is growing. It trades at 20x earnings (only 5x forward earnings), 2x book, and supports a 37% ROE. Latest quarterly cash reserves were growing, while debt was retired. We recommend a stop-loss at $40, looking to achieve $62.50 -- upside potential of 30%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $62.41)