Opinions
Marc-Andre Robitaille
Transalta Corp
TA-T
WAIT
Apr 15, 2009
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Ton of drama for many years. Exciting play when it separated out RNW, but then they put them back together. Underperformed since then. Not a bad name, but doesn't have the nice dividend that others in the space do.
Not the first place he'd put money. Dead money absent other catalysts. On a really sharp pullback, you could add. If you own it, it's a fine hold.
Our PAST TOP PICK with TA has triggered its stop at $16. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. Combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 46%.
He's looking at it. It's softened up considerably. Decent dividend payer, cut a few years ago but now back on track. High-quality company with share price having sold off. An opportunity, but he hasn't pulled the trigger yet.
Spike on chart due to strong earnings and a bunch of analysts giving it a "Buy". Got ahead of itself. Disappointment recently. He doesn't like buying at all-time highs, where there's often more downside than upside.
TA holds a basket of high-quality power generation facilities including renewables. The company is prudently using some cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares. It trades at 21x earnings and supports a 25% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $9.50, looking to achieve $16.00 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 1.9%
(Analysts’ price target is $18.33)