Stockchase Opinions

Paul Tepsich Transalta Corp TA-T COMMENT Apr 25, 2016

2019 bonds for a small portion of a portfolio? This company has kind of fallen on hard times. They are holding about 7X leverage, which is high. Thinks the bonds trade at around 7% which is not overly cheap. If you do this, it will require more diligence.

$6.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this Canadian based developer of renewable energy as a TOP PICK.  They recently announced the startup of a 200MW wind project in Oklahoma that is fully contracted - their 30th successful wind project.  Shares trade at 12x earnings and support a robust 33% ROE.  Quarterly cash reserves are growing again, while debt is retired and shares bought back.  We continue to recommend a stop at $8.50, looking to achieve $13.00 -- upside potential of 26%.  Yield 2.2%

(Analysts’ price target is $13.75)
HOLD

Ton of drama for many years. Exciting play when it separated out RNW, but then they put them back together. Underperformed since then. Not a bad name, but doesn't have the nice dividend that others in the space do.

Not the first place he'd put money. Dead money absent other catalysts. On a really sharp pullback, you could add. If you own it, it's a fine hold.

DON'T BUY

Has been rallying the last 3-4 months based on rate cuts. Has exposure to the Alberta power market which has seen prices under pressure since 2022. Prefers Capital Power.

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 18/24, Up 21.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $8.50) to $11.00 at this time.  

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 18/24, Up 30.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA has achieved its target at $13.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $11) to $12.  

DON'T BUY

It has been up and down for a decade and its ten year chart shows a price not much higher than 10 years ago. He is not expecting much dividend growth. He prefers TC Energy which is more solid and more diversified.

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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 18/24, Up 51.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $12.00) to $13.50 at this time.

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 18/24, Up 109.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $13.50) to $16.00 at this time.  

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 18/24, Up 59.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TA has triggered its stop at $16.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  Combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 46%.

WATCH

He's looking at it. It's softened up considerably. Decent dividend payer, cut a few years ago but now back on track. High-quality company with share price having sold off. An opportunity, but he hasn't pulled the trigger yet.

Spike on chart due to strong earnings and a bunch of analysts giving it a "Buy". Got ahead of itself. Disappointment recently. He doesn't like buying at all-time highs, where there's often more downside than upside.