Stockchase Opinions

The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki Starwood Property Trust STWD-N TOP PICK Nov 09, 2023

Starwood property trust, inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (reit) in the united states and europe. it operates through commercial and residential lending, infrastructure lending, property, and investing and servicing segments. the commercial and residential lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial and residential first mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, commercial mortgage-backed securities (cmbs), residential mortgage-backed securities, and other real estate and real estate-related debt investments. the infrastructure lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages infrastructure debt investments. the property segment acquires and manages equity interests in commercial real estate properties, including multi-family properties. Social media mentions are up 300% in the past 24h.

$18.980

Stock price when the opinion was issued

REAL ESTATE
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DON'T BUY
A good CEO and steward of capital, but he's in a tough business now. The 13% dividend is not sustainable.
BUY
A leading financier of commercial real estate, offices and apartments. He's confident in the CEO. The payout ratio makes their 7.75% dividend solid.
BUY
A fine CEO. Profitable company that pays a good yield.
WAIT

More of a lender in real estate. Commercial real estate has had issues. Yield is over 10%. Trading 20% below book value. Lots of loans are floating rate, so rate increases have helped. Numbers cover the payout ratio. Wait for markets to revalue the company. When rates come down, can grow again.

DON'T BUY

If the CEO scares him, he won't be on board. Shares have done nothing for a few years, but you get paid the dividend. Too risky.

BUY

In the income bucket, with dividend yield in high 9% range currently. Well managed, good capital allocator. Could be seeing an increase in transactions, so might gain market share or just benefit from increased volumes. If you hold, you're just looking to capture the spread on interest from making loans. This part of the market is pretty secure, with the sustained commercial recovery underway.