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Brendan Kyne Rand A Technology RND-T DON'T BUY Nov 16, 2000

Too much competition

Brendan Kyne

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BUY

Ranks 50 out of 700 stocks, so it's in the top 10% of his database. Earnings estimates have gone up by about 13% in the last 90 days. Earnings are expected to grow from $.11 in '05 to $.22 in '06. That gives a 13 P/E.

TOP PICK

A reseller of a product for Autodesk (ADSK-Q) and others on the aerospace side. Earnings were $0.13 in ‘05 and are forecast to grow by 46% to $0.19 in ’06 which gives you an 11 X PE. They have about $0.70 in cash, so if you take this off the share price, then the P/E is only 8.

TOP PICK

Very cheap at 10/12 X forward earnings. Has $.70 of cash. Pretty good growth outlook for their partners. Hoping they will eliminate their losses on the European side of the business. Would not rush out and put new money in right away.

TOP PICK

Cheap and has a reasonable amount of cash. Hoping management will change the losses on the European side.

DON'T BUY

Became concerned about their big partners and what was happening with them. Some uncertainties in that market that he doesn't understand and has not studied it for 6 months. Wants to see that they can turn the corner sustainability on cash flow and profit generation. Not convinced they are there yet.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 21/06. Down 24%.) Has been a huge disappointment. Long on promise, short on delivery.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 25/06. Down 12.4%.) They continue to drag their heels. By the end of the calendar year, they should be up to improve profitability in their European division. Autocad is improving, which bodes well for this stock. At best, a hold.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 8/05. Down 50.8%.) Losing money in Europe. Long on promise, short on delivery.

BUY

Moved through its 200 day moving avg. on very heavy volume. Disappointed with management, however they are making progress. A US lawsuit chewed up $400,000 per year. Has a lot of cash. Expecting them to reverse their European losses by March.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 25/06. Down 15.6%.) No one has come in to change management and improve the outlook of the company. Stock ranks poorly in his model.

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Brendan Kyne Rand A Technology RND-T DON'T BUY Nov 16, 2000

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