Stockchase Opinions

Steve MacMillan Pool Corporation POOL-Q TOP PICK Jan 03, 2007

Distributor of swimming pool products. They are a large, consolidated distributor between 2 fragmented bases, suppliers and customers, which gives them the most bargaining power. Attractive valuation.
$39.590

Stock price when the opinion was issued

household goods
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TOP PICK

World's largest distributor of swimming pool and supplies. Leading supplier of landscaping supplies in USA. 400 sales centers and have dominant market share regionally. Capital light growth model equates to a ~40% on their shareholder capital. Dividend growing in double digits. Growth in Southern US states along with warmer weather creating higher demand for products. Long term, a very good investment. Stock entering strong period of year for sales. 

BUY

Steady dividend increases good for investors. Quality company that continues to own shares in. Leading company within pool category. Pool services and chemical products business also very strong. Warming climate also good for business. 

DON'T BUY

Shares fell yesterday after they lowered guidance. Labour costs to fix homes, including installing pools, remain extortionate; labour costs need to go down.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/24, Down 15%)

Excellent business. Difficult comparisons from Covid sales, but thought those days were over. Fed moved more slowly lowering rates, consumers became reticent on big-ticket items. Sold last August.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/24, Down 22%)

Got it wrong. Sold last summer. Selling pool consumables is less cyclical and discretionary than a whole new pool. Consumer confidence didn't bounce back, Fed slower to cut rates. Still a great company.