Opinions
Josef Schachter
PMI Resourses
PMI-X
TOP PICK
Aug 21, 2013
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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(A Top Pick Sept 25/12. Down 20%.) Involved in 2 high exploration wells. Will be reaching total depth in December. Announced the spudding of the 2nd well. These are light oil targets and are very large. Have a very large light oil focused land spread in Albania. Also, have conventional natural gas land in France. $55 million in cash on the balance sheet. His target is $0.60. Buy on weakness.
Core focus is in Albania and as well is partnered with Shell in Chile. Shell is paying $25 million for the 1st well and will then pay $23 million for the 2nd, which will be drilling in Q2. Also, paying $20 million for seismic. Also, have operations in Australia and France. Have about $50 million in cash on their balance sheet. $0.60 risk target for the next 12 months.
They had the discovery where Shell is 70% and this company is a 30% partner. There was a successful well they had drilled in Albania. Very deep and very expensive. Now in the process of sourcing a new rig from China. They are going to bring the rig in some time in Q3 or Q4. The drill time on these wells is very, very long. It takes a year to drill and costs $80-$100 million. The company is well financed. Sitting on $24.6 million of cash in Dec/14, which is 3.5 cents and the stock is at 5.5 cents, so you are paying $.02 for the discovery. The problem is that there is no action going on in the drilling fields in terms of new wealth creation at this time. They also have some great assets in France which they are trying to get some partners on. They also have a long-term potential in northwest Australia. If you have a long-term, 2-3 year time horizon, then he thinks the stock is attractive.
He likes the Albanian play. Had a very big discovery with deep light oil, but the problem was that the spend was getting out of hand. They tried to find partners, but didn’t get the bids they needed. Shell came in with an offer and offered them cash. That cash is now going to be distributed in the next 30-60 days to shareholders. The play that he wanted is now gone. If you own, wait for the dividend and then sell.
With Shell as their partner, they are drilling in Albania for a very deep prize. Shell has 75% of the play and will spend $200 million drilling 3 wells and doing seismic. Market Cap is $60 million and they have over $40 million in cash at the end of Q1 so they have $20 million of land value that Shell is willing to spend $200 million on. They think the fields are very similar to some big producing fields in Italy. Once the 1st well gets out, they will drill the 2nd well. This is a very big prize. Also, have other assets in France and Australia.