Parsley Energy (PE)

(A Top Pick September 15/17 Up 22%) A pure Permian producer, who just reported earnings and blew the market away with its results. Unlike their peers, they are not constrained by take-away capacity out of the Permian by arranging for long term firm capacity. He thinks Exxon could possibly take them out.

(A Top Pick June 19, 2017. Up 2%). He sees meaningful upside this year and next. The company was not well managed this year, but the current CEO is retiring and the next one will be more focused on operations. This stock is trading at a discount to peers (and to the Permian average), it has exposure to the highest growth area, and there is a possibility of a takeout later in the year.

This is his biggest E & P holding. 90% hedged next year, so it is really a production story and a delineation story. They are spending more money next year than this year on delineation. They’ve had really good success in the new zone where they have 600 locations. They’ll be growing more than 50% next year. Relatively healthy balance sheet and a good hedge position. Trading at a discount relative to other Permian producers. There is upside from them continuing to delineate the Wolf Camp C, because the economics are pretty outstanding on “finding costs” at about $5 a barrel. (Analysts’ price target is $38.)

A Permian producer that has been doing a really good job of acquiring acreage, so they issued a ton of paper on to the market. They’ve grown 14% a quarter for the past couple of years. They now get to slow down on that and focus on delineating their acreage, and also going after some new benches. One that they think they have a command of is the Wolf Camp C, and these wells are super, super economic. Have about 70% of their production hedged next year. (Analysts’ price target is $40.)