Opinions
Jaime Carrasco
CGX Energy Inc.
OYL-X
COMMENT
Apr 26, 2013
$0.115
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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COMMENT
Exploration offshore Suriname and Guyana. Set to drill their first super-super high impact wells in Q3. Market cap is already discounting a large degree of success. 90%-95% chance of failure. Doesn’t like pure exploration names but prefers companies that are cheap on existing production where he gets the upside for free.
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COMMENT
Participated in this company since 1998. All along it was complete speculation. If they find the oil it will group and if they don’t it will go down. That last well they drilled was dry. They did the hole to meet a drilling commitment. They were able to raise money in this market when no one else could raise money. Results again in late summer.
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gas
HOLD
Company is stuck for now with the issue of reissuing licenses and they need to find money again. Have been in this predicament before and have always raised money. There is a possibility of a massive oil find just north of Guyana. The problem is that over the years they have diluted the stock but from the current price, it is still pretty high from what the possibility could be.
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Did a shareholder vote and Pacific Rubiales (PRE-T) will be assuming the management of the company. Drilling off the coast of Guyana. Got to about 1000 feet of the target. Because of gas creating a lot of pressure, they couldn’t finish the drilling. Potential is still there and could be a world-class discovery. Pretty good play going forward but it is risky and a speculation.