Stockchase Opinions

Joe Terranova NXP Semiconductors NXPI-Q DON'T BUY Nov 03, 2023

The car business is slowing a lot. NXPI is exposed 57% to semis in cars. Challanges lie ahead and expecations are muted.

$181.550

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This TOP PICK produces semiconductors used in EV for power management and for powering 5G infrastructure -- both set for explosive growth going forward. Recently reported earnings beat expectations and support an impressive 40% ROE. It has rumoured to be a potential takeover by Samsung. It has increased cash reserves thru business operations and some added debt, while aggressively buying back shares. we recommend a stop loss at $135, looking to achieve $223 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 2.12% (Analysts’ price target is $222.95)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This producer of semiconductors used in EV for power management and for powering 5G infrastructure -- both set for explosive growth going forward is reiterated as a TOP PICK. The second largest supplier of chips to the automobile sector sees demand remaining strong and is reporting sales up 28% over the year. It is prudently using some cash reserves to buy back shares in support of a 40% ROE. We recommend trailing up the stop loss (from $135) to $140, looking to achieve $213 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 1.93% (Analysts’ price target is $213.14)
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 26/22, Down 20.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PIC with NXPI has triggered its stop at $140. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 16% when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
BUY
It reports Monday. Intel's bad quarter today normally would mean a sell-off of other semis, but the street has been buying NXP, and he expects this bullishness to continue.
BUY

Sells a lot of chips to the car industry, and the company is well run.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Down 10% this month. Half of business comes from cars, and 21% from industrials, both pressured by recession fears. Threats of an auto workers' strike doesn't help, but a strike won't last very long--Washington will force both sides to talk. They just reported a solid quarter and guidance.

BUY

50% of business is in cars, so given the auto strikes shares are now cheaper than they should be. Inventories on car dealer lots is low, and car ages are high. So demand will be there. He likes the set up. 

WATCH

They report today. It won't be a slam dunk, but there's potential for bad news due to soft demand for EVs which require a lot of chips. So, does NXP have enough strength in supplying gas-powered cars (sales are healthy) to offset weakness in EVs? There could be upside surprise.

DON'T BUY

It's a semis company that supplies cars, so he won't touch this.