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NVIDIA CorporationNVDABUYFeb 28, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 22, 2026. Market Open.
His favourites right now are AMZN, NVDA, and MSFT. They're all going higher.
On the capex spend, sometimes it's a leap of faith. You're relying on these companies having some of the smartest people in the world with the most disposable capital. And those people really believe it's not a bridge to nowhere.
Undoubtedly, some companies are overdoing it and there will be another side to the mountain. But we don't know when that will be.
Chart shows staircase consolidations and rallies. Earnings days are a total black box for him, no idea what's going to happen today (coin toss). We'll either see a corrective phase back to support, or see another push higher.
Longer-term chart continues to work. He'd look to add on weakness -- either right away if there's a drop, or later in July/August if the stock moves higher in the short term.
He always says buy this, don't trade it. They just delivered another set of stunning numbers: revenue growing 85% year over year, revenue beating with most of their growth coming from their core data centre business, hyperscaler revenues up 115% YOY while other areas grew 74% YOY, while gross margins were in line, free cash flow beat, and announced an $80 billion share buyback. They raised guidance, too. But the stock is so big, it's hard to surprised investors, so the stock is flat after hours.
Likes it fundamentally, but a lot of things are overbought at this point. Be cautious how you step in. Will do well over next 12-24 months. Relatively cheap compared to other growth stories out there. The "arms dealer" of the AI buildout. Like the "picks & shovels" of the AI "gold rush". An ecosystem of hardware and software.
Will benefit from the major capex spend by hyperscalers. Earnings growth forecast for next few years is 45% a year. PEG ratio ~0.6x, very attractive valuation. Yield is 0.02%.
In his momentum mandate. Compelling valuation of 27-28x PE compared to its own history. Earnings expected to grow at a high-20s rate. PEG ratios around 1 are really good, up to 2 are OK, beyond that is expensive. Risks of further tariffs on China would not make a huge impact.
Risk is that export restrictions on the most advanced AI chips would be tightened further and impact sales. His bullishness on the name is underpinned by the AI revolution. Demand is there, though capacity constrained recently. 90% of chips go to data centres, rest into gaming and auto.
Owns for its terrific first-mover advantage in semiconductors and, in particular, GPUs and other chips for AI and data-centre applications. Reported good results. Stock's pulling back, but still in a long-and-strong secular uptrend. Volatile stock, hyper-owned and hyper-scrutinized. People tend to own it with a very short-term trading mentality. Positioned and weighted properly, it definitely deserves a spot in a diversified portfolio.