Stock price when the opinion was issued
This is a junior producer in the Montney. They have 140 sections in northeast BC. Current production base is 3500 barrels per day and they just had a discovery in a different area, which can increase their production to 4000. The cost of each well is very low so there is fast payback, typically 18 months to pay for a well. He thinks the new discovery is drawing attention from bigger players, such as Tourmaline, that might buy the new play or the whole company. The CEO owns a big chunk of stock and has been in this type of situation, and sold his company, before. He thinks a takeout will be above $3 and that it should get close to $3 even if there is no takeout. (Analysts’ price target is $2.73)
They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking to potential buyers, like Tourmaline who have bought land from LXE before. A spin-out of lands further north may happen. Take some profits.
It is a great company. They are drilling wells across the existing. They have support from institutional investors. He is considering it. If they build up what they are talking about it could be $5 Billion. They could be acquired. He is about to do a big work up on the numbers.