Opinions
James Hodgins
Leucrotta Exploration Inc.
LXE-X
TOP PICK
May 15, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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This is a junior producer in the Montney. They have 140 sections in northeast BC. Current production base is 3500 barrels per day and they just had a discovery in a different area, which can increase their production to 4000. The cost of each well is very low so there is fast payback, typically 18 months to pay for a well. He thinks the new discovery is drawing attention from bigger players, such as Tourmaline, that might buy the new play or the whole company. The CEO owns a big chunk of stock and has been in this type of situation, and sold his company, before. He thinks a takeout will be above $3 and that it should get close to $3 even if there is no takeout. (Analysts’ price target is $2.73)
They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking to potential buyers, like Tourmaline who have bought land from LXE before. A spin-out of lands further north may happen. Take some profits.
This is roughly half oil and half natural gas condensates. So there are 90% liquids in general which makes this a good target for acquisition. There is almost no debt. M&A globally has picked up tremendously but not in the energy space. He thinks that this will pick up, especially for small-cap companies like Leucrotta, The CEO is a large shareholder and would be well-rewarded by a good buyout. He has done it before. (Analysts’ price target is 2.52$)