Stockchase Opinions

Michael SmedleyKarnalyte ResourcesKRN.TOCOMMENTJun 06, 2012

The entire potash sector is in a state of temporary wreckage. It is problematic in many regards.
$8.90

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$0.36

As of Jun 01, 2026. Market Open.

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HOLD

(Market Call Minute.) Feels the potash market is oversupplied.

RISKY

An okay name from a fundamental perspective. Very speculative. Doesn’t see much upside for the commodity.

COMMENT

Fertilizer section has been less glamorous than gold. Has some way to go down maybe in terms of commodity pricing. They have a big Indian partner so he doesn’t expect this will be taken out. At bit smothered by the general disinterest of the sector at large. Tremendous management. You’ll have to be patient.

HOLD

This has been strongly rated and most people seem to like it. Has a solid investment partner now. The problem he has with a lot of these smaller resources is that it is hard to see that you are getting as big a bang for your buck as you might in another sector that has been re-rated and is recovering with much better fundamentals. If you own, he would Hold or redeploy your cash into another sector.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.) One of the more attractive names. Recently got an investment from an Indian firm.

SELL

(Market Call Minute) Too small, too prospective, won’t happen.

COMMENT

Had a good move the last few days. Sold off because of regulatory concerns on a bought deal that got hung in the market. Came up with a good pre-feasibility report on processing some of its by-product. Management team has been trying hard to demonstrate the efficacy of their technology. Stock has gone up on speculation of a takeout or a joint venture with the senior partner to commercialize the business.

WAIT

Fell afoul of trying to issue shares when an Alberta Securities Commission employee referred its mining process to a BC Securities Commission, which delayed it past a vital date. By that time, all junior potash companies were in a state of disarray. Put out an interesting study on magnesium that is in their assets but he feels the potash is more important.

DON'T BUY
(Market Call Minute) A big cap x in a market that is scared of it.
HOLD
Went through some misfortune in that it was late filing and couldn't undertake an issue. It is also in the potash sector which is generally being somewhat jaded. Potentially it has a great future. Hopefully it will be able to proceed eventually with the solutions mining project. They are experts and they fell in that one great gap that is on the main trend in Saskatchewan, by the rail, by the road under the town of Winard. President owns about 30%.
TOP PICK
Potash. Located in Saskatchewan and 30% owned by its president. Have been hitting all their targets.
TOP PICK
Solution company rather than miner. Solved water problem. Ahead in its projects and should report feasibility next month.
DON'T BUY
Unique asset in a way they process of technology they use for extraction of potashes from a solutions base. IPO went for about $8.50 stock now is around $12. Prices now based on the sentiment of ag stocks, which is currently recently bullish. Fairly valued right now.
WAIT
Had a good run and then pulled back with the market. The market is waiting for a price settlement for the Potash with the Indians. He keeps adding to it on pullbacks.