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Stockchase Opinions

Charles DillinghamKEYreitKRE.UN.TOBUYJun 09, 2009

Strip retail and stand-alone retail. Numbers surprised the market. Fairly stable business. In a year or so they have a big debt that matures but they should work your way through this. 16.2% yield. (He owns some of their convertible.)
$5.25

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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SELL
Current prospects are abysmal. Have tremendous concentration KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut. Effectively bankrupt in Canada. Had difficulties in refinancing debt.
DON'T BUY
He has been Short this stock for some time. They had a big concentration of tenancy to Prism, which has had financial troubles and they are disclaiming leases and has some short-term capital issues there. Very high risk and he does not believe the yield is sustainable.
DON'T BUY
The last time he looked at this, it looked like the payout ratio versus what they are earning was very close at about 100%. Sustainability is in question. Also, having a single tenant brings out some of the riskiness in the business itself.
WEAK BUY
Some shopping centers but also a lot of sites for convenience stores including KFC, etc. Parent of KFC has gone bankrupt. Although properties are still good, there have been some issues because of this. Improving and have managed to buy some things. Doesn't know if it is worth the risk as he hasn't looked at it closely enough. Yield of 13.2%, which could indicate a cut at some point. (Owns some convertible debentures.)
RISKY
Had a big debt maturity coming up. They have handled a big part of that debt problem in the last couple of days. Illiquid and higher risk. It has been handling its problems.
DON'T BUY
Their parent company, which owns about 50% of the tenants, is in serious financial trouble. He has held off buying although he does own some of their convertible debentures.
DON'T BUY
Their parent Prism is in serious trouble, which could have an effect because of the overlapping ownership. They also have a big chunk of debt coming due.
COMMENT
Owns some of the convertibles but hasn't followed it. Thinks it may have a debt issue that may have to be cleared up before too long but numbers are reasonably good. 12% distribution.
COMMENT
Illiquid. Challenged at times. He owns some of their convertible debt. Proving to be survivors. Still have a big debt hurdle coming up that puts a cloud on them for a little while. Probably okay. 11.6% yield.
DON'T BUY
Quick service restaurants such as KFC. Moving into small strip malls. It’s a wait and see.
BUY
(Market Call Minute) Mid-cap REIT. A Leveraged play on spreads
COMMENT
Debt is a serious challenge. They have improved. He owns some of the convertibles but hasn't owned the stock for a long time. Numbers are better and reasonable management.
DON'T BUY
Primarily owns standalone KFC’s, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut etc. Beginning to diversify by buying single-purpose or triple net lease properties. Have $65 million debt maturing that they will have to replace. Better quality names with better quality real estate available.
COMMENT
(Market Call Minute.) Has moved up a lot. Still has some debt to cover off next year. If you made some money consider taking some profit now.